Result
4:1
20/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Norway | Viaplay |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
United-kingdom | DAZN |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 23 | 4 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 4.35% (1/23) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.65% (22/23) | 84.21% (16/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 13 | 29 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 44 | 56 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 14:37, 0 - 1, Toffoli T. (G), Eklund W. (A), Wennberg A. (A2)
- 15:10, 1 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 01:49, 2 - 1, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
- 03:17, 3 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), James D. (A), Goncalves G. (A2)
- 06:51, Reaves R. (2 min),
- 12:57, (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 17:41, 4 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Lightning 61.4% | Draw 18.9% | San Jose Sharks 19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.San Jose Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Sharks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↓ (1.71) |
5.05 ↑ (4.56) |
4.79 ↑ (3.92) |
5% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5, OT - San Jose (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Tampa Bay Lightning will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.
- Tampa Bay is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Elbow Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Injury)
Point B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sabourin S.
(Head Injury)
- There will not play in San Jose: Couture L.
(Groin Injury)
Dellandrea T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kurashev P.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Mukhamadullin S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Price C.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 84:43. (average 4.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 4.6:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against San Jose Sharks?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Sharks won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
San Jose Sharks has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks were as follows:
03.01.2026
San Jose Sharks
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:7
02.01.2025
San Jose Sharks
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:1
05.12.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
San Jose Sharks
8:1
21.03.2024
San Jose Sharks
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
1:4
26.10.2023
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
San Jose Sharks
6:0
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest results of San Jose Sharks
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 2 : 2 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal