Result
0:1
11/01/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 12
- Referee: Williams C. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (278/377) | 68% (210/307) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (278/377) | 68% (210/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (22/60) | 37% (31/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (75/129) | 69% (62/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 57 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 87% (20/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Morrison K. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Brown D. ⚽, Seidl M. (A),
- 69', Piazza A. ↓, Studer J. ↑,
- 71', Furphy H. ↓, Flannery N. ↑,
- 71', Lowe R. ↓, Saveska S. ↑,
- 77', Medwin A. ↓, Stephenson K. ↑,
- 77', Brown D. ↓, Meyers K. ↑,
- 82', Sakalis S. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
- 87', Pickett L. ↓, Techera S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
56.5% | Draw
22.5% | Brisbane Roar
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.53) |
4.02 ↑
(3.8) |
4.32 ↓
(4.4) |
10.4%
(14.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 2.
- Melbourne Victory has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Brisbane Roar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Melbourne Victory may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melbourne Victory is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:39. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Brisbane Roar?
Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Melbourne Victory?
Brisbane Roar has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
01.11.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne Victory
3:2
19.04.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Brisbane Roar
2:0
08.01.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne Victory
2:0
03.02.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne Victory
1:2
15.10.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Brisbane Roar
1:2
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Adelaide W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Wellington Phoenix W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Perth W | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16:31 | -15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
