Result
1:2
08/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 16
- Referee: Ryan M. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 6 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (247/341) | 75% (265/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 2.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 55 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (247/341) | 75% (265/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (58/85) | 64% (120/187) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 38% (14/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Gordon B. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, Ayson M. ⚽, Hawkesby M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cassar A. ↓, Halmarick S. ↑,
- 46', Sullivan R. ↓, Pearson W. ↑,
- 59', Corbett C. ↓, Tanner R. ↑,
- 62', Fenton K. 🟥,
- 69', Robers E. ↓, Wardlow J. ↑,
- 69', Sasaki N. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
- 69', Tallon-Henniker C. ↓, Lemon A. ↑,
- 75', Grove S. ↓, Christopherson S. ↑,
- 82', Hawkesby M. 🟨,
- 82', Hawkins E. ↓, Dale S. ↑,
- 85', Ulkekul J. ↓, Luchtmeijer A. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Stanic-Floody M. ⚽,
- 90', Hinz H. 🟨,
- 90+1', Stanic-Floody M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Sydney FC
25.7% | Draw
25.7% | Canberra United
48.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Canberra United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canberra United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sydney FC - Canberra United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↓
(4.25) |
3.57 ↓
(3.7) |
1.9 ↑
(1.77) |
8.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 2.
- Sydney has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Canberra United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Canberra United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Canberra United is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:3. (average 3.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney FC won against Canberra United?
Sydney FC has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Canberra United won against Sydney FC?
Canberra United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney FC - Canberra United were as follows:
10.12.2025
Canberra United
-
Sydney FC
2:0
22.03.2025
Canberra United
-
Sydney FC
0:1
15.01.2025
Sydney FC
-
Canberra United
Abandoned
27.03.2024
Canberra United
-
Sydney FC
1:0
03.01.2024
Sydney FC
-
Canberra United
1:1
Latest results of Sydney FC
Latest results of Canberra United
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Adelaide W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Wellington Phoenix W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Perth W | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16:31 | -15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
