Result
1:0
22/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Gor Mahia
48.3% | Draw
31.3% | Tusker
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gor Mahia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Gor Mahia - Tusker Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.82) |
2.91 ↓
(3.02) |
4.44 ↓
(4.7) |
10%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 2.
- Gor Mahia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tusker is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gor Mahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Gor Mahia is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Gor Mahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gor Mahia won against Tusker?
Gor Mahia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Gor Mahia?
Tusker has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia - Tusker were as follows:
16.02.2025
Gor Mahia
-
Tusker
0:0
19.01.2025
Tusker
-
Gor Mahia
2:1
20.01.2024
Gor Mahia
-
Tusker
1:0
22.10.2023
Tusker
-
Gor Mahia
0:1
28.05.2023
Tusker
-
Gor Mahia
0:0
Latest results of Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
