Result
3:1
23/02/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
- Referee: Del Cerro C. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Union Berlin
41.4% | Draw
29.9% | Ajax
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Union Berlin - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.42) |
3.2 ↓
(3.32) |
3.36 ↑
(3.05) |
4.2%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
80 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 49 - 61.3%). Ajax will win (votes: 18 - 22.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 50.6% – 72%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Union Berlin was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (39%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%), has currently - 12, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- Ajax was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (61%), has a chance of qtrs (42%), has a chance of semis (26%), has a small chance of final (15%), has a small chance of win league (8%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
- This event has big quality 75, big importance 80, big match rating 77. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Union Berlin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ajax in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Union Berlin will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Union Berlin: Schafer A.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Union Berlin: Busk J.
(Illness)
Leite D.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Kaplan A.
(Knee Injury)
Sanchez J.
(Knock)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Ajax?
Union Berlin has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Union Berlin?
Ajax has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Ajax were as follows:
16.02.2023
Ajax
-
Union Berlin
0:0
Latest results of Union Berlin
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
