Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa do Brasil Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro
Result
2:0
11/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Betano do Brasil - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.060.60
Ball Possession
26%74%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
510
Passes
72% (128/179)91% (457/503)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.060.60
xG on target (xGOT)
2.540.10
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
510
Touches in opposition box
1316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
917
Passes
72% (128/179)91% (457/503)
Long passes
41% (15/37)68% (28/41)
Passes in final third
60% (31/52)86% (117/136)
Crosses
17% (2/12)14% (4/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.43
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
199
Tackles
65% (11/17)87% (13/15)
Duels won
3648
Clearances
2111
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.102.54
Goals prevented
0.100.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge ,
  • 25', Wanderson 🟨,
  • 26', Hulk 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gabriel Menino , Rony ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Kaio Jorge ,
  • 66', Kaio Jorge , Gabriel Barbosa ,
  • 66', Wanderson , Matheus Henrique ,
  • 75', Cuello 🟨,
  • 78', Christian , Sinisterra L. ,
  • 78', Igor Gomes , Franco A. ,
  • 78', Cuello , Reinier ,
  • 86', Lucas Silva , Walace ,
  • 90+1', Guilherme Arana 🟥,
  • 90+1', Matheus Henrique 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
46.3%
Draw
29.9%
Atlético Mineiro
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 29.8% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 29.3% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.08)
    3.31
    (3.18)
    4.23
    (3.82)
    2%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 44.9%88.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1.
    • Cruzeiro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Atlético MG's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cruzeiro might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Arroyo K. (Inactive) Fagner (Broken Leg) Janderson (Knee Injury) Kaua Moraes (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Bernard (Health problems) Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Lyanco (Thigh Injury) Patrick Silva (Broken tailbone) Renzo Saravia (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo (Inactive) Wanderson (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    27.08.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro 0:2
    18.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro 0:0
    09.02.2025 Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro 0:2
    18.01.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro 0:0
    10.08.2024 Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro 0:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    30.08.2025 Cruzeiro - São Paulo 1:0
    18.08.2025 Mirassol - Cruzeiro 1:1
    10.08.2025 Cruzeiro - Santos 1:2
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1SantosBye
    4ByeCRB
    5CruzeiroBye
    7Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    8Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    18Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    20ByeCorinthians
    21SergipeCeara0 : 2
    22ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    24ByePalmeiras
    25Sao PauloBye
    27MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    28Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    29TremBrusque0 : 2
    30OlariaABC1 : 0
    31Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    32Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    33Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    34BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    35Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    36BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    37HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    38CSETombense1 : 3
    39Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    40Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    41Botafogo RJBye
    43Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    44CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    45Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    46GASRemo0 : 4
    47SousaBragantino1 : 2
    48OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3
    49Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    50DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    51CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    52VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    53InternacionalBye
    55CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    56MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    57ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    58JequieRetro1 : 2
    60ByeFortaleza
    61Paysandu PABye
    64ByeBahia

    1/32-finals
    1SantosBye
    2ByeCRB
    3CruzeiroBye
    4Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    10ByeCorinthians
    11CearaConfianca3 : 2
    12ByePalmeiras
    13Sao PauloBye
    14VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    15BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    16Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    17Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    18GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    19Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    20VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    21Botafogo RJBye
    22Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    23CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    24BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1
    25FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    26CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    27InternacionalBye
    28CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    29Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    30ByeFortaleza
    31Paysandu PABye
    32ByeBahia

    1/16-finals
    1SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    6CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    7Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    8BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    10Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    12CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0
    13FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    14InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    15RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    16Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CRBCruzeiro0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CorinthiansPalmeiras2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4Sao PauloAthletico-PR0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5CSAVasco1 : 3, 0 : 0
    6Botafogo RJBragantino1 : 0, 2 : 0
    7FluminenseInternacional1 : 1, 2 : 1
    8RetroBahia0 : 0, 2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG2 : 0, 2 : 0
    2CorinthiansAthletico-PR2 : 0, 1 : 0
    3VascoBotafogo RJ2 : 1, 1 : 1
    4FluminenseBahia2 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CruzeiroCorinthians
    2VascoFluminense

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2