Result
1:3
02/05/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 14
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (437/497) | 75% (173/230) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (437/497) | 75% (173/230) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (45/64) | 40% (19/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (150/187) | 61% (34/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/33) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Minda A. ⚽, Cassierra M. (A),
- 32', 0 - 2, Maycon (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Kaua Moraes ↓, Villarreal N. ↑,
- 45+2', Franco A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Lyanco 🟨,
- 56', Christian 🟨,
- 62', Romero L. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 62', Christian ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 65', Arroyo K. 🟨,
- 65', Minda A. ↓, Reinier ↑,
- 66', Arroyo K. 🟨,
- 69', Cassierra M. 🟨,
- 72', 0 - 3, Cassierra M. ⚽, Lodi R. (A),
- 72', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 72', Reinier 🟨,
- 75', Kaiki 🟥,
- 77', Bernard ↓, Pascini K. ↑,
- 78', Gerson ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 78', Matheus Pereira ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
- 79', Lyanco 🟨,
- 84', Alonso J. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 3, Kaio Jorge (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Cassierra M. ↓, Caua ↑,
- 88', Maycon ↓, Perez T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
51.1% | Draw
28.2% | Atlético Mineiro
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(1.96) |
3.36 ↑
(3.27) |
4.56 ↑
(3.73) |
5.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3.
- Cruzeiro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Atlético MG has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cruzeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Cassio
(Knee Injury)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Patrick Silva
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Cuello
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Atlético Mineiro?
Cruzeiro has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Cruzeiro?
Atlético Mineiro has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
08.03.2026
Cruzeiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
25.01.2026
Atlético Mineiro
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
15.10.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
11.09.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:0
27.08.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Cruzeiro
0:2
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 18 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
