Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
39.5%
Draw
30.3%
Atlético Mineiro
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 30.1% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 29.2% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.28)
    3
    (3.03)
    3.01
    (3.05)
    10%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.
    • Cruzeiro is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Atlético MG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    25.01.2026 Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro 2:1
    15.10.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro 1:1
    11.09.2025 Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro 2:0
    27.08.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro 0:2
    18.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro 0:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    28.02.2026 Cruzeiro - Pouso Alegre 1:0
    25.02.2026 Cruzeiro - Corinthians 1:1
    21.02.2026 Pouso Alegre - Cruzeiro 1:2
    14.02.2026 URT - Cruzeiro 1:2
    11.02.2026 Mirassol - Cruzeiro 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Pouso AlegreCruzeiro0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Atletico-MGAmerica MG1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG