Result
1:0
28/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3
- Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe, Telefe |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 7 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 7 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | ESPN 7 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 7 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 7 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter |
 World | Onefootball, Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (400/448) | 73% (187/257) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (400/448) | 73% (187/257) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (26/41) | 29% (18/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (119/145) | 57% (32/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Paredes L. 🟨,
- 25', Kaio Jorge 🟨,
- 29', Fagner 🟨,
- 40', Gerson 🟨,
- 40', Bareiro A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Bareiro A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fagner ↓, Kaua Moraes ↑,
- 62', Aranda T. ↓, Figal J. ↑,
- 62', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
- 75', Arroyo K. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 75', Romero L. ↓, Villarreal N. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Villarreal N. ⚽, Kaio Jorge (A),
- 87', Blanco L. 🟨,
- 87', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 88', Kaio Jorge ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 90', Costa A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
37.3% | Draw
32.4% | Boca Juniors
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cruzeiro - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.38) |
2.91 ↑
(2.72) |
3.11 ↓
(3.7) |
6.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 31.2% – 83%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Boca Juniors (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cruzeiro will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Cruzeiro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Boca Juniors is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cruzeiro might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Cassio
(Knee Injury)
Fagner
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Villarreal N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Carlos Palacios
(Knee Injury)
Cavani E.
(Lower Back Injury)
Marchesin A.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Boca Juniors?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Cruzeiro?
Boca Juniors has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Boca Juniors were as follows:
22.08.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Boca Juniors
3:1
15.08.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cusco | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Coquimbo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Penarol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Lanus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
