Result
3:0
04/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 27
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (183/257) | 84% (376/445) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (183/257) | 84% (376/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (22/58) | 48% (13/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (34/60) | 71% (80/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 38% (10/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Maycon (Pen),
- 45+1', Jose Aldo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Lucas Ramon ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
- 55', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 58', Hugo Souza 🟨,
- 59', Negueba ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 59', Cristian Renato ↓, Chico ↑,
- 62', Gui Negao ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 62', Martinez J. ↓, Andre ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Vitinho (A),
- 73', Breno Bidon ↓, Depay M. ↑,
- 75', Guilherme ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 75', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Maceio ↑,
- 84', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
- 84', Vitinho ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 0, Andre ⚽, Yuri Alberto (A),
Chances of winning
Corinthians
46.6% | Draw
29.2% | Mirassol
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Corinthians - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.17) |
3.24 ↑
(3.21) |
3.91 ↑
(3.57) |
5.5%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Mirassol?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Corinthians (2.05) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Corinthians (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Corinthians (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Corinthians (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Corinthians (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Mirassol (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corinthians will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Mirassol (votes: 2 - 15.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Corinthians is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Andre Ramalho
(Inactive)
Carrillo A.
(Inactive)
Charles Rigon
(Knee Injury)
Depay M.
(Muscle Injury)
Garro R.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Edson Carioca
(Injury)
Neto Moura
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Mirassol?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Corinthians?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Mirassol were as follows:
10.05.2025
Mirassol
-
Corinthians
2:1
02.03.2025
Corinthians
-
Mirassol
2:0
19.02.2023
Corinthians
-
Mirassol
3:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
