Result
3:3
03/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (422/494) | 77% (207/270) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (422/494) | 77% (207/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 38% (16/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (146/194) | 67% (32/48) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/21) | 4% (1/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.29 | -1.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Laine L. ⚽, Streng J. (A),
- 20', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
- 40', Fati B. ↓, Obileye A. ↑,
- 42', 1 - 1, Riski Ro. ⚽, Soderback M. (A),
- 45+1', Yussif S. 🟨,
- 45+3', Kanga J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 47', Veteli J. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 2, Streng J. ⚽, Paananen K. (A),
- 62', Kanga J. ↓, Maenpaa A. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, Jukkola O. ⚽, Rale M. (A),
- 68', Riski Ro. 🟨,
- 69', Laine L. ↓, Mastokangas E. ↑,
- 78', Stjopin M. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
- 78', Arsalo M. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
- 78', Vargas A. ↓, Appiah Nyarko K. ↑,
- 78', Streng J. ↓, Tessilimi O. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Riski Ro. ⚽,
- 84', Krkalic F. 🟨,
- 84', Tessilimi O. 🟨,
- 85', Jukkola O. ↓, Raymond A. ↑,
- 85', Riski Ro. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 3, Paananen K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ilves
57.5% | Draw
20.6% | SJK
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ilves - SJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.72) |
4.58 ↑
(4.53) |
4.24 ↑
(3.9) |
6.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Ilves - SJK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ilves will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 1.
- Ilves has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- SJK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ilves is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L.
(Injury)
Hytonen T.
(Inactive)
Ulundu V.
(Inactive)
Virtanen O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in SJK: Chukwudi S.
(Injury)
Fati B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against SJK?
Ilves has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SJK won against Ilves?
SJK has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - SJK were as follows:
04.10.2025
SJK
-
Ilves
2:1
05.07.2025
SJK
-
Ilves
1:1
18.06.2025
Ilves
-
SJK
2:3
25.01.2025
Ilves
-
SJK
1:1
19.10.2024
Ilves
-
SJK
4:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 62:34 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 60:33 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | Ilves | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:45 | 23 | 60 |
| 4 | SJK | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 70:51 | 19 | 59 |
| 5 | HJK | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 74:52 | 22 | 49 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 47:65 | -18 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
