Orlando City vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Orlando City - Cincinnati
28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Orlando City - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.55
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
88% (468/529)81% (301/371)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.760.70
Total shots
179
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2714
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
88% (468/529)81% (301/371)
Long passes
45% (14/31)37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
85% (153/180)70% (74/105)
Crosses
30% (7/23)50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.000.44
Throw-ins
148
Fouls
1213
Tackles
70% (14/20)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4261
Clearances
736
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.700.76
Goals prevented
-1.30-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', Flores G. 🟨,
  • 45', Yedlin D. 🟨,
  • 45', Pasalic M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 0 - 1, Evander ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Angulo I. , Muriel L. ,
  • 54', Enrique R. 🟨,
  • 61', Valenzuela G. , Kamara K. ,
  • 70', Schlegel R. , Rafael Santos ,
  • 74', 0 - 2, Evander , Denkey K. (A),
  • 80', Engel L. , Smith B. ,
  • 80', Thorhallsson D. , Smith K. ,
  • 83', Hadebe T. , Powell A. ,
  • 83', Evander , Baird C. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Pasalic M. , Ojeda M. (A),
  • 90', Ojeda M. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 90+4', Baird C. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Brekalo D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Orlando City
49%
Draw
25.3%
Cincinnati
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 28.6% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 28.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.
  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Orlando City - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.19)
    3.72
    (3.32)
    3.64
    (3.38)
    5.3%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.61%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Orlando City might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Cincinnati were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Cincinnati - Orlando City 1:3
    04.05.2024 Orlando City - Cincinnati 0:1
    02.09.2023 Cincinnati - Orlando City 0:1
    04.03.2023 Orlando City - Cincinnati 0:0
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6Los Angeles FC1885533:24929
    7San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Colorado Rapids22751024:33-926
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Inter Miami18105342:291335
    6Orlando City2197539:281134
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution2066826:25124
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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