Result
3:2
21/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (224/282) | 91% (573/633) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (224/282) | 91% (573/633) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 38% (15/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (72/104) | 83% (107/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.34 | -1.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Inamura H. ⚽, Miyamoto E. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Konno K. ⚽, Kitajima Y. (A),
- 16', 2 - 1, Usui S. ⚽, Hashimoto Y. (A),
- 19', Fujimoto K. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 36', 2 - 2, Taniguchi K. ⚽, Danilo Gomes (A),
- 45', 3 - 2, Kitajima Y. ⚽, Iwasaki Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kamijima T. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
- 61', Miyamoto E. ↓, Akiyama H. ↑,
- 63', Konno K. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
- 63', Akino H. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
- 75', Hasegawa M. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
- 75', Okumura J. ↓, Ota S. ↑,
- 75', Danilo Gomes ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
- 81', Usui S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
- 90', Nago S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Hoshi Y. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka
40.9% | Draw
31.2% | Albirex Niigata
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.39) |
3.05 ↑
(3.05) |
3.47 ↑
(3.34) |
5.7%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Niigata will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Niigata (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25, 1st Half - Avispa Fukuoka (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Avispa Fukuoka (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Niigata (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Niigata (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Niigata (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Niigata (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Niigata (votes: 6 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 3.
- Avispa Fukuoka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Niigata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Niigata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.
- Avispa Fukuoka could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Zahedi S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
Nara T.
(Knee Injury)
Oda I.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Albirex Niigata?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Albirex Niigata has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
02.04.2025
Albirex Niigata
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
17.08.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Albirex Niigata
0:1
25.05.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:2
18.08.2023
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Albirex Niigata
0:1
24.05.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:2
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
