Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        26/10/2025 at  06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Premier League - Round 13
 
                                                - Referee: Frolov A. (Rus)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 | 
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go | 
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.40 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 35% | 65% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 61% (160/262) | 80% (376/470) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.40 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.43 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 1 | 8 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 0 | 4 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 2 | 11 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 8 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 11 | 33 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 17 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 61% (160/262) | 80% (376/470) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 31% (25/81) | 57% (30/53) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 49% (54/110) | 70% (108/154) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 39% (14/36) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.07 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 15 | 23 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 17 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 75% (9/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 50 | 69 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 38 | 34 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.61 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.57 | -0.39 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 42', 1 - 0, Benchimol ⚽, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 1)
 - 46', Karpukas A. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑, 
 - 46', Rudenko A. ↓, Bakaev Z. ↑, 
 - 62', Silyanov A. ↓, Nenakhov M. ↑, 
 - 62', Dzyuba A. ↓, Boldyrev M. ↑, 
 - 67', 1 - 1, Montes C. ⚽, Batrakov A. (A), 
 - 70', Kuzmin M. ↓, Escoval R. ↑, 
 - 71', Djakovac I. ↓, Pestryakov D. ↑, 
 - 72', Khosonov K. 🟨, 
 - 79', Rocha Y. ↓, Sevikyan E. ↑, 
 - 79', Loncar S. ↓, Bistrovic K. ↑, 
 - 79', Nedelcearu I. 🟨, 
 - 80', Vorobyev D. ↓, Sarveli V. ↑, 
 - 87', Montes C. 🟨, 
 - 90+1', Prutsev D. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Akron Tolyatti  24.1% | Draw  24% | Lokomotiv Moscow  51.8% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   3.97 ↑ (3.75) | 
			   3.98 ↑ (3.7) | 
			   1.85 (1.85) | 
			   4.5% (7.7%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Lokomotiv Moscow will win 
                    (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1.
 - Akron has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
 - Lokomotiv is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
 - Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
 - Recently, Akron has had a series of away games.
  - In this match, Lokomotiv is the team to beat.
 - In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Akron won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Akron won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
                    
                    
                        
                            Akron Tolyatti has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Akron Tolyatti?
                    
                    
                        
                             Lokomotiv Moscow has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:
                                                        
                                16.09.2025 
                                Akron Tolyatti 
                                - 
                                Lokomotiv Moscow 
                                1:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                28.08.2025 
                                Lokomotiv Moscow 
                                - 
                                Akron Tolyatti 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.05.2025 
                                Akron Tolyatti 
                                - 
                                Lokomotiv Moscow 
                                1:4
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.07.2024 
                                Lokomotiv Moscow 
                                - 
                                Akron Tolyatti 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.01.2024 
                                Lokomotiv Moscow 
                                - 
                                Akron Tolyatti 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Akron Tolyatti                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Krasnodar | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27:8 | 19 | 32 | 
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:13 | 12 | 30 | 
| 3 | Zenit | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28:11 | 17 | 29 | 
| 4 | Baltika | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:6 | 14 | 27 | 
| 5 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 30:19 | 11 | 27 | 
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22:20 | 2 | 22 | 
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 | 
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 17 | 
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 16 | 
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 15 | 
| 11 | FK Rostov | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 | 
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8:16 | -8 | 14 | 
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 13 | 
| 14 | Orenburg | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 11 | 
| 15 | Sochi | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12:33 | -21 | 8 | 
| 16 | Pari NN | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9:25 | -16 | 7 | 
      Premier League (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ FNL