Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
09/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.85
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
87% (386/444)91% (438/481)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.95
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
914
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
87% (386/444)91% (438/481)
Long passes
34% (12/35)62% (26/42)
Passes in final third
78% (117/150)77% (87/113)
Crosses
42% (5/12)50% (11/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.21
Throw-ins
1111
Fouls
1211
Tackles
75% (9/12)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3429
Clearances
2024
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.951.59
Goals prevented
-1.05-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Sanchez I. ,
  • 37', Desler M. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Guilherme Biro , Bukari O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', Bartlow E. , Antonio Carlos ,
  • 49', Bukari O. 🟨,
  • 53', Lingr O. 🟨,
  • 57', Raines B. , Ennali L. ,
  • 63', Uzuni M. 🟨,
  • 69', Ponce E. , Bassi A. ,
  • 69', Holmes D. , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 71', Rubio D. , Taylor R. ,
  • 71', Sanchez I. , Sabovic B. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, McGlynn J. (Pen),
  • 89', 2 - 2, McGlynn J. , Ennali L. (A),
  • 90+2', Bukari O. , Gallagher J. ,
  • 90+2', Desler M. , Obrian J. ,
  • 90+2', Wolff O. , Fodrey C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin FC
47%
Draw
27.2%
Houston Dynamo
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 29.1% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 29.8% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Austin FC - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.16)
    3.47
    (3.27)
    3.66
    (3.52)
    5.4%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Austin FC - Houston Dynamo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Austin (3.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Austin FC will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Austin FC will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Austin (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 3.
    • Austin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Houston has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Austin has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Houston has had a series of home games.
    • Austin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Austin: Beloko N. (Health problems)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Austin won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 3:1
    26.04.2025 Houston Dynamo - Austin FC 2:0
    21.09.2024 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 0:1
    15.05.2024 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 1:0
    20.04.2024 Houston Dynamo - Austin FC 0:1
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)