Result
2:3
25/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (378/444) | 77% (269/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 2.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (378/444) | 77% (269/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (28/53) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (117/147) | 61% (58/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (11/30) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
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| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.03 | 2.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Judd P. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A), Werner T. (A2)
- 24', Edwards E. ↓, Daniel ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. ↓, Vieira R. ↑,
- 46', Skahan J. ↓, Tsakiris N. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Cordova S. ⚽, Hartel M. (A), Durkin C. (A2)
- 54', 2 - 1, Hartel M. ⚽, Becher S. (A),
- 59', Judd P. 🟨,
- 61', Fernandez N. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 2, Werner T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 70', Floriani M. ↓, Ricketts J. ↑,
- 75', Daniel 🟨,
- 75', Cordova S. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,
- 81', Becher S. ↓, Teuchert C. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 3, Werner T. ⚽, Bouda O. (A),
- 84', Ricketts J. 🟨,
- 84', Durkin C. 🟨,
- 85', Totland T. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
- 85', Edelman D. ↓, Lowen E. ↑,
- 90+5', Polvara D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St. Louis City 38.9% | Draw 25.6% | San Jose Earthquakes 35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 ↑ (2.19) |
3.72 ↑ (3.57) |
2.67 ↓ (2.96) |
5.7% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
San Jose Earthquakes will win
(15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 5.
- St. Louis City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- San Jose is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- St. Louis City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu
(Knee Injury)
Orozco J.
(Concussion)
- There will not play in San Jose: Jones D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against San Jose Earthquakes?
St. Louis City has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against St. Louis City?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
20.09.2025
San Jose Earthquakes
-
St. Louis City
1:3
31.05.2025
St. Louis City
-
San Jose Earthquakes
2:1
21.09.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
St. Louis City
1:2
03.07.2024
St. Louis City
-
San Jose Earthquakes
2:0
24.06.2023
San Jose Earthquakes
-
St. Louis City
1:2
Latest results of St. Louis City
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26:7 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:6 | 20 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:26 | -18 | 5 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | New York City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:32 | -16 | 10 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)