St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
25/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV International

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.271.50
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
53
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
113
Passes
85% (378/444)77% (269/351)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
2.271.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.832.03
Total shots
219
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
122
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
187
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
4623
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1211
Passes
85% (378/444)77% (269/351)
Long passes
53% (28/53)47% (20/43)
Passes in final third
80% (117/147)61% (58/95)
Crosses
37% (11/30)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.950.78
Throw ins
2132
Fouls
1112
Tackles
54% (7/13)71% (5/7)
Duels won
4333
Clearances
1328
Interceptions
1410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
2.032.83
Goals prevented
-0.970.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Judd P. , Fernandez N. (A), Werner T. (A2)
  • 24', Edwards E. , Daniel ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. , Vieira R. ,
  • 46', Skahan J. , Tsakiris N. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Cordova S. , Hartel M. (A), Durkin C. (A2)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Hartel M. , Becher S. (A),
  • 59', Judd P. 🟨,
  • 61', Fernandez N. , Bouda O. ,
  • 69', 2 - 2, Werner T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 70', Floriani M. , Ricketts J. ,
  • 75', Daniel 🟨,
  • 75', Cordova S. , McSorley B. ,
  • 81', Becher S. , Teuchert C. ,
  • 83', 2 - 3, Werner T. , Bouda O. (A),
  • 84', Ricketts J. 🟨,
  • 84', Durkin C. 🟨,
  • 85', Totland T. , Rafael Santos ,
  • 85', Edelman D. , Lowen E. ,
  • 90+5', Polvara D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
38.9%
Draw
25.6%
San Jose Earthquakes
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 26.1% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 26.6% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.19)
    3.72
    (3.57)
    2.67
    (2.96)
    5.7%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: San Jose Earthquakes will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 5.
    • St. Louis City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • San Jose is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • St. Louis City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu (Knee Injury) Orozco J. (Concussion)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Jones D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vitor Costa (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    20.09.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:3
    31.05.2025 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1
    21.09.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2
    03.07.2024 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:0
    24.06.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City 1:2
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1191126:71928
    2Vancouver Whitecaps1081126:62025
    3Los Angeles FC1163219:81121
    4Seattle Sounders962113:5820
    5Minnesota United1162314:16-220
    6Real Salt Lake1061319:14519
    7FC Dallas1144320:15516
    8Houston Dynamo1050513:18-515
    9Colorado Rapids1141622:19313
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1134416:17-113
    11Austin FC1134416:19-313
    12San Diego FC1133519:19012
    13Portland Timbers1031613:21-810
    14St. Louis City101369:18-96
    15Sporting Kansas City101278:26-185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC1072121:61523
    2New England Revolution1061318:12619
    3Inter Miami1154222:19319
    4Chicago Fire1052319:11817
    5DC United1143413:15-215
    6FC Cincinnati1143422:25-315
    7Charlotte1142518:19-114
    8Toronto FC1135318:20-214
    9New York City1133519:18112
    10Columbus Crew1133516:16012
    11New York Red Bulls1133516:27-1112
    12Atlanta Utd1131712:18-610
    13Orlando City1131716:32-1610
    14CF Montreal1030714:23-99
    15Philadelphia Union111379:17-86

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)