San Jose Earthquakes vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.120.81
Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
74
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
95
Passes
74% (200/271)87% (433/500)
Yellow cards
43
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.120.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.940.73
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
36
Blocked shots
47
Shots inside the box
107
Shots outside the box
410
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2420
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free kicks
1313
Passes
74% (200/271)87% (433/500)
Long passes
38% (18/47)64% (30/47)
Passes in final third
70% (78/111)77% (86/111)
Crosses
33% (5/15)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.63
Throw ins
1819
Fouls
1313
Tackles
75% (9/12)70% (14/20)
Duels won
3748
Clearances
2211
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
45
xGOT faced
0.731.94
Goals prevented
0.73-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. , Werner T. (A),
  • 13', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 🟨,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Jasinski J. , Fernandez N. (A),
  • 28', Marie P. 🟨,
  • 37', Jasinski J. 🟨,
  • 39', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Werner T. , Leroux B. ,
  • 46', Ramirez E. , Dennis C. ,
  • 46', Flores D. , Biasi L. ,
  • 46', Pelayo A. 🟨,
  • 62', Buck N. , Roberts R. ,
  • 62', Adimabua N. , Bouda O. ,
  • 77', Pelayo A. , Mar Boye P. ,
  • 77', Marie P. , Tsakiris N. ,
  • 77', Floriani M. , Skahan J. ,
  • 84', Dennis C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Capetillo A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
64.6%
Draw
19.5%
Phoenix Rising
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 18.9% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4% 18.3% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.38)
    4.68
    (4.83)
    5.98
    (6.19)
    7.6%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Phoenix Rising?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • San Jose is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Phoenix Rising has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, San Jose is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that San Jose will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    2Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    4ByeAtlanta Utd
    5CharlotteBye
    7Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    8CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    9Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    10Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    12ByeNew York City
    13New York Red BullsBye
    15Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    16Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    17Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    18DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    20ByeChicago Fire
    21St. Louis CityBye
    23San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    24Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    25LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    26Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    28ByeAustin FC
    29Houston DynamoBye
    31New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    32Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    33Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    34VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    36ByeSporting Kansas City
    37Colorado RapidsBye
    39Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    40BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    41AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    42Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    44ByeMinnesota United
    45San Jose EarthquakesBye
    47Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    48Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0
    49FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    50TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    52ByeOrlando City
    53New England RevolutionBye
    55Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    56MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    57Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    58West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    60ByeColumbus Crew
    61DC UnitedBye
    63Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    64VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    2ByeAtlanta Utd
    3CharlotteBye
    4Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    5Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    6ByeNew York City
    7New York Red BullsBye
    8PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    9Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    10ByeChicago Fire
    11St. Louis CityBye
    12San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    13LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Houston DynamoBye
    16New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    17Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    18ByeSporting Kansas City
    19Colorado RapidsBye
    20Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    21Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    22ByeMinnesota United
    23San Jose EarthquakesBye
    24Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    25FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    26ByeOrlando City
    27New England RevolutionBye
    28Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    29Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    30ByeColumbus Crew
    31DC UnitedBye
    32Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd1 : 3
    2CharlotteCharlotte Independ.6 : 0
    3Westchester SCNew York City2 : 5
    4New York Red BullsPittsburgh3 : 1
    5DetroitChicago Fire1 : 2
    6St. Louis CityFC Tulsa4 : 0
    7Louisville CityAustin FC2 : 1
    8Houston DynamoEl Paso4 : 1
    9Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City3 : 0
    10Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha1 : 0
    11Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United0 : 1
    12San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising2 : 0
    13FC NaplesOrlando City0 : 1
    14New England RevolutionRhode Island2 : 1
    15Richmond KickersColumbus Crew0 : 3
    16DC UnitedOne Knoxville3 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1Atlanta UtdCharlotte2 : 0
    2New York CityNew York Red Bulls
    3Chicago FireSt. Louis City
    4Louisville CityHouston Dynamo
    5Colorado SpringsColorado Rapids
    6Minnesota UnitedSan Jose Earthquakes2 : 4
    7Orlando CityNew England Revolution
    8Columbus CrewOne Knoxville