Result
1:1
06/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Kaleia M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.04 | 0.55 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
68% (212/311) | 75% (272/362) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.04 | 0.55 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.68 | 0.32 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 21 |
Passes |
---|
68% (212/311) | 75% (272/362) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (28/74) | 41% (34/82) |
Passes in final third |
---|
50% (70/140) | 58% (57/99) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (5/16) | 38% (8/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.16 | 0.52 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (14/22) | 77% (10/13) |
Duels won |
---|
62 | 63 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.32 | 1.68 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.68 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Tregarthen S. 🟨,
- 24', Shashoua S. ↓, Vassell P. ↑,
- 32', Martinez E. 🟨,
- 45+5', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
- 45+9', Travis J. 🟨,
- 45+9', 1 - 0, Calheira T. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Suarez S. 🟨,
- 58', Elmedkhar K. 🟨,
- 68', Webber J. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
- 68', Goldthorp E. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 72', Martinez E. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
- 83', McIllhatton S. ↓, McCartney D. ↑,
- 83', Tregarthen S. ↓, Turnbull S. ↑,
- 84', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Seagrist P. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Rufe J. ⚽, McCartney D. (A),
- 90+1', Colli G. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 90+2', Batista L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tulsa 48.1% | Draw 25% | Birmingham Legion 26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulsa's form might have worsened.Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tulsa - Birmingham Legion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↑ (1.73) |
3.7 ↓ (3.74) |
3.44 ↓ (4.2) |
8.1% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1.
- Tulsa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Birmingham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tulsa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Birmingham Legion?
Tulsa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Tulsa?
Birmingham Legion has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
31.05.2025
Tulsa
-
Birmingham Legion
1:2
04.05.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Tulsa
2:2
23.08.2023
Tulsa
-
Birmingham Legion
1:3
17.03.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Tulsa
3:2
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )