Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia Solo Calcio |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (273/383) | 60% (144/241) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (273/383) | 60% (144/241) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 25% (13/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (40/88) | 49% (35/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Gulli F. ⚽, Cuello A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Valdez S. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
- 46', Abaldo M. ↓, Paredes F. ↑,
- 63', Galdames P. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
- 65', Gulli F. ↓, Rattalino J. ↑,
- 65', Reali M. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Tripichio N. (Own goal),
- 70', Vera F. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
- 82', Tripichio N. ↓, Salinardi Branco ↑,
- 82', Cerutti E. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
- 84', Avalos G. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
- 90+1', Montiel S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Salinardi Branco 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente
35.2% | Draw
36.1% | San Lorenzo
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente's form might have worsened.San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Independiente - San Lorenzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(2.23) |
2.97 ↑
(2.96) |
3.63 ↑
(3.58) |
-7.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Independiente - San Lorenzo?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Independiente (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 1 - 25%). San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.
- Independiente is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Independiente might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N.
(Knee Injury)
Insaurralde M.
(Elbow Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against San Lorenzo?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Independiente?
San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - San Lorenzo were as follows:
08.03.2025
San Lorenzo
-
Independiente
1:2
03.08.2024
Independiente
-
San Lorenzo
0:0
01.04.2023
San Lorenzo
-
Independiente
0:0
Latest results of Independiente
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
