Independiente vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda).

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.13	0.83
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
4	6
Shots on target
0	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	3
Passes
71% (273/383)	60% (144/241)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.13	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	1.07
Total shots
4	6
Shots on target
0	3
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
0	0
Shots inside the Box
3	4
Shots outside the Box
1	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	3
Touches in opposition box
11	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
23	17
Passes
71% (273/383)	60% (144/241)
Long passes
39% (22/56)	25% (13/52)
Passes in final third
45% (40/88)	49% (35/72)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.19
Throw-ins
29	22
Fouls
17	23
Tackles
47% (9/19)	64% (16/25)
Duels won
68	63
Clearances
15	23
Interceptions
7	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.07	0.00
Goals prevented
0.07	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Gulli F. ⚽, Cuello A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Valdez S. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
46', Abaldo M. ↓, Paredes F. ↑,
63', Galdames P. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
65', Gulli F. ↓, Rattalino J. ↑,
65', Reali M. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Tripichio N. (Own goal),
70', Vera F. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
82', Tripichio N. ↓, Salinardi Branco ↑,
82', Cerutti E. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
84', Avalos G. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
90+1', Montiel S. 🟨,
90+1', Salinardi Branco 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Independiente
35.2%

Draw
36.1%

San Lorenzo
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

31.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

32.1%

25.9%

Independiente - San Lorenzo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.23)	2.97 ↑ (2.96)	3.63 ↑ (3.58)	-7.7% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

What is the prediction for Independiente - San Lorenzo?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 16.1% – 74.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.
Independiente is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Independiente might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury) Insaurralde M. (Elbow Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.4:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against San Lorenzo?

Independiente has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Independiente?

San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - San Lorenzo were as follows:

08.03.2025 San Lorenzo - Independiente 1:2

03.08.2024 Independiente - San Lorenzo 0:0

01.04.2023 San Lorenzo - Independiente 0:0

Latest results of Independiente

13.09.2025 Independiente - Banfield 0:1 ✺

29.08.2025 Instituto Córdoba - Independiente 0:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Independiente - Universidad de Chile Abandoned ✺

16.08.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 2:1 ✺

13.08.2025 Universidad de Chile - Independiente 1:0 ✺

Latest results of San Lorenzo

12.09.2025 Racing - San Lorenzo 2:0 ✺

30.08.2025 San Lorenzo - Huracán Buenos Aires 0:0 ✺

23.08.2025 San Lorenzo - Instituto Córdoba 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Platense - San Lorenzo 2:1 ✺

07.08.2025 San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield 1:0 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Clausura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Boca Juniors ✔	15	7	5	3	26:12	14	26
2	Union de Santa Fe ✔	15	6	6	3	20:13	7	24
3	Central Cordoba	15	5	8	2	16:10	6	23
4	Tigre	15	5	7	3	14:11	3	22
5	Barracas Central	15	5	7	3	18:16	2	22
6	Racing Club	15	6	4	5	15:13	2	22
7	Argentinos Jrs	15	6	3	6	16:12	4	21
8	Estudiantes L.P	15	6	3	6	16:16	0	21
9	Banfield	15	6	2	7	14:20	-6	20
10	Belgrano	15	4	7	4	13:11	2	19
11	Defensa y Justicia	15	5	4	6	14:17	-3	19
12	Huracan	15	5	4	6	9:14	-5	19
13	Aldosivi	16	5	3	8	13:18	-5	18
14	Newells Old Boys	15	3	5	7	13:22	-9	14
15	Ind. Rivadavia	15	2	7	6	12:17	-5	13

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rosario Central ✔	16	8	7	1	18:8	10	31
2	Lanus ✔	16	9	3	4	20:13	7	30
3	Dep. Riestra ✔	16	8	4	4	19:12	7	28
4	Velez Sarsfield ✔	15	7	4	4	19:12	7	25
5	San Lorenzo ✔	16	6	6	4	13:11	2	24
6	River Plate	15	6	3	6	20:15	5	21
7	Talleres Cordoba	15	5	5	5	9:12	-3	20
8	Sarmiento Junin	16	5	5	6	13:17	-4	20
9	San Martin S.J	16	4	7	5	13:16	-3	19
10	Gimnasia L.P	15	6	1	8	11:16	-5	19
11	Independiente	16	4	6	6	14:13	1	18
12	Atl. Tucuman	16	5	3	8	17:22	-5	18
13	Instituto	15	3	6	6	9:17	-8	15
14	Godoy Cruz	16	1	9	6	11:19	-8	12
15	Platense	15	2	6	7	12:22	-10	12

Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Union de Santa Fe is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dep. Riestra is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)