Result
0:0
20/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (290/383) | 76% (266/352) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (290/383) | 76% (266/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 52% (28/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (71/108) | 68% (77/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Magallan L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Gulli F. 🟨,
- 64', Gulli F. ↓, Perruzzi F. ↑,
- 64', Cuello A. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
- 66', Montenegro L. 🟨,
- 71', Magallan L. ↓, Quiros A. ↑,
- 74', Reali M. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
- 79', Lanzini M. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
- 79', Monzon F. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
- 85', De Ritis M. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
- 85', Auzmendi R. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo
30.7% | Draw
33.4% | Vélez Sársfield
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-2%)
San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↑
(2.88) |
2.81 ↑
(2.73) |
2.64 ↓
(2.83) |
6%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Vélez will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 1.
- San Lorenzo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Vélez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vélez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N.
(Knee Injury)
Cardillo M.
(Inactive)
Cerutti E.
(Knee Injury)
Cordoba A.
(Muscle Injury)
Hernandez G.
(Knee Injury)
Herrera D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vélez: Gordon J.
(Knee Injury)
Machuca I.
(Suspended)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Vélez Sársfield?
San Lorenzo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against San Lorenzo?
Vélez Sársfield has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
07.08.2025
San Lorenzo
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:0
08.02.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
San Lorenzo
0:0
14.09.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:1
06.08.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:3
08.10.2022
San Lorenzo
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:0
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
