Result
20/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo
30.8% | Draw
33.9% | Vélez Sársfield
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.88) |
2.77 ↑
(2.73) |
2.65 ↓
(2.83) |
6.6%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 1.
- San Lorenzo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vélez has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Vélez Sársfield?
San Lorenzo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against San Lorenzo?
Vélez Sársfield has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
07.08.2025
San Lorenzo
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:0
08.02.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
San Lorenzo
0:0
14.09.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:1
06.08.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:3
08.10.2022
San Lorenzo
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:0
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 25 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | River Plate | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
