Libertad Asuncion vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Mineiro
Result
1:1
27/06/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6
  • Referee: Rapallini F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 2, ESPN
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
germanyGermanySport 1+
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Highlights

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
29.9%
Draw
30.6%
Atlético Mineiro
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 28.1% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6% 27.5% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (3.43)
    3.07
    (3.32)
    2.37
    (2.09)
    6.8%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 23.8%76.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Libertad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    06.04.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Libertad Asuncion 0:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ