Super Nova vs Jelgava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Latvian Virsliga Super Nova - Jelgava
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Virsliga - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV, TV4
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.04
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
512
Passes
83% (331/399)76% (256/335)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.51
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
512
Touches in opposition box
3123
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
916
Passes
83% (331/399)76% (256/335)
Long passes
64% (37/58)66% (50/76)
Passes in final third
77% (138/179)63% (76/121)
Crosses
38% (10/26)10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.530.66
Throw-ins
2721
Fouls
169
Tackles
50% (4/8)44% (4/9)
Duels won
3443
Clearances
3543
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.510.77
Goals prevented
0.51-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Holoubek D. 🟨,
  • 36', Glaudans A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Alekseiciks K. 🟥,
  • 58', Deklavs A. 🟨,
  • 71', Holoubek D. , Zaleiko G. ,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Hasek M. ,
  • 74', Cudars K. , Bombans G. ,
  • 77', Sula D. 🟨,
  • 80', Emenike K. , Deruzinskis R. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Skadmanis K. ,
  • 90+1', Marchuk A. , Tihonovics M. ,
  • 90+1', Sula D. , Sitjakovs R. ,
  • 90+2', Becers R. , Boroduska E. ,

Chances of winning


Super Nova
26.9%
Draw
34.1%
Jelgava
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 27.8% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 27.7% 38.7%

Super Nova - Jelgava Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.96
(2.75)
3.13
(3.3)
2.74
(2.37)
-6.3%
(8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0.
  • Recent form of Super Nova has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Jelgava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Recently, Super Nova has had a series of away games.
  • In this match, Jelgava is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Jelgava were as follows:
20.07.2025 Jelgava - Super Nova 1:0
21.05.2025 Super Nova - Jelgava 0:0
05.04.2025 Jelgava - Super Nova 2:1
01.10.2023 Super Nova - Jelgava 1:1
09.07.2023 Jelgava - Super Nova 2:2
Latest results of Super Nova
28.09.2025 Tukums 2000 - Super Nova 2:1
22.09.2025 Auda Riga - Super Nova 3:2
14.09.2025 Metta LU - Super Nova 2:1
30.08.2025 Super Nova - Riga 2:6
25.08.2025 Liepāja - Super Nova 0:3
Latest results of Jelgava
27.09.2025 Jelgava - Auda Riga 1:1
21.09.2025 Jelgava - Riga 2:3
13.09.2025 RFS - Jelgava 1:4
29.08.2025 Grobiņa - Jelgava 3:2
23.08.2025 Jelgava - Tukums 2000 1:1
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025
PlWDLDiffPts
1Riga FC ✔ 36277285:265988
2RFS ✔ 362835100:396187
3FK Liepaja ✔ 361871159:55461
4BFC Daugavpils361391452:62-1048
5Auda ✔ 361361744:49-545
6Jelgava368141439:46-738
7Tukums 200036991839:63-2436
8Super Nova366141644:56-1232
9Grobina36882033:64-3132
10Metta36872139:74-3531

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Virsliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

Clinched Spots for Teams
Riga FC is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
RFS is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
FK Liepaja is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Auda is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )