Elva vs FC Tallinn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
19/10/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 32

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Dmitrijev A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, Lindmae R. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Elva
58.8%
Draw
20.1%
FC Tallinn
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 17.8% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7% 17.3% 14.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elva's form might have worsened.
  • FC Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Tallinn's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Tallinn than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Tallinn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Elva - FC Tallinn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.34)
    4.65
    (5.1)
    4.42
    (6.2)
    7.1%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Elva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Elva is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Elva won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elva - FC Tallinn were as follows:
    16.08.2025 FC Tallinn - Elva 1:2
    22.05.2025 Elva - FC Tallinn 1:1
    24.04.2025 FC Tallinn - Elva 1:1
    06.10.2024 Elva - FC Tallinn 0:1
    10.08.2024 FC Tallinn - Elva 3:4
    Latest results of Elva
    04.10.2025 Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21 0:1
    27.09.2025 Tallinna Kalev U21 - Elva 0:3
    22.09.2025 Viimsi JK - Elva 1:1
    18.09.2025 Tammeka U21 - Elva 1:2
    13.09.2025 Elva - Nõmme United 1:4
    Latest results of FC Tallinn
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1KuressaareViimsi JK2 : 0, 1 : 0