Mirassol vs Chapecoense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Mirassol
61.9%
Draw
23.2%
Chapecoense
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 25.4% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 24% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Mirassol - Chapecoense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.58)
    4.1
    (3.6)
    6.16
    (5.5)
    5.7%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Mirassol is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chapecoense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mirassol is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Chapecoense were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Mirassol - Chapecoense 1:0
    05.08.2024 Chapecoense - Mirassol 0:1
    29.07.2023 Chapecoense - Mirassol 0:1
    15.04.2023 Mirassol - Chapecoense 1:0
    Latest results of Mirassol
    03.05.2026 Mirassol - Corinthians 2:1
    29.04.2026 Mirassol - Always Ready 2:0
    25.04.2026 São Paulo - Mirassol 1:0
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras14103124:111333
    2Flamengo RJ1383226:121427
    3Fluminense1482423:18526
    4Sao Paulo1473419:13624
    5Athletico-PR1472520:15523
    6Bahia1364319:16322
    7Bragantino1462617:16120
    8Coritiba1454516:17-119
    9Vitoria1353516:18-218
    10Botafogo RJ1352625:26-117
    11Atletico-MG1452717:20-317
    12Internacional1445514:14017
    13Vasco1445520:21-117
    14Gremio1445515:16-117
    15Cruzeiro1444618:24-616
    16Santos1436519:22-315
    17Corinthians1436510:13-315
    18Mirassol1333715:19-412
    19Remo1425715:24-911
    20Chapecoense-SC1315713:26-138

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B