Portland Timbers vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
16/08/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.81
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2410
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (461/531)77% (311/406)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.321.53
Total shots
2410
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
5031
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
87% (461/531)77% (311/406)
Long passes
58% (30/52)28% (15/54)
Passes in final third
75% (122/162)58% (54/93)
Crosses
26% (8/31)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.831.22
Throw-ins
1813
Fouls
1012
Tackles
79% (11/14)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
1844
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.531.32
Goals prevented
-1.47-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Denkey K. , Bucha P. (A),
  • 12', Kelsy K. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 2, Bucha P. , Evander (A),
  • 36', 0 - 3, Evander , Miazga M. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 3, Kelsy K. , Lassiter A. (A),
  • 45+3', Robinson M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Ortiz J. , Paredes C. ,
  • 59', Echenique E. , Mboma K. ,
  • 59', Denkey K. , Kamara K. ,
  • 60', Paredes C. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Kelsy K. (Pen),
  • 78', Robinson M. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 83', Lassiter A. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 83', Miller K. , Zuparic D. ,
  • 85', Ayala D. , Mora F. ,
  • 90+1', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 90+1', Jimenez S. , Valenzuela G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
35.5%
Draw
28%
Cincinnati
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 26.5% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 27.1% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Portland Timbers - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.5)
    3.4
    (3.6)
    2.59
    (2.7)
    5.4%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cincinnati is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Moreno S. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Anunga T. (Red Card) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury) Sergio Santos (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Cincinnati were as follows:
    22.04.2023 Cincinnati - Portland Timbers 2:1
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    10.08.2025 Cincinnati - Charlotte 0:1
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1191126:71928
    2Vancouver Whitecaps1081126:62025
    3Los Angeles FC1163219:81121
    4Seattle Sounders962113:5820
    5Minnesota United1162314:16-220
    6Real Salt Lake1061319:14519
    7FC Dallas1144320:15516
    8Houston Dynamo1050513:18-515
    9Colorado Rapids1141622:19313
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1134416:17-113
    11Austin FC1134416:19-313
    12San Diego FC1133519:19012
    13Portland Timbers1031613:21-810
    14St. Louis City101369:18-96
    15Sporting Kansas City101278:26-185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC1072121:61523
    2New England Revolution1061318:12619
    3Inter Miami1154222:19319
    4Chicago Fire1052319:11817
    5DC United1143413:15-215
    6FC Cincinnati1143422:25-315
    7Charlotte1142518:19-114
    8Toronto FC1135318:20-214
    9New York City1133519:18112
    10Columbus Crew1133516:16012
    11New York Red Bulls1133516:27-1112
    12Atlanta Utd1131712:18-610
    13Orlando City1131716:32-1610
    14CF Montreal1030714:23-99
    15Philadelphia Union111379:17-86

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)