Orange County SC vs Birmingham Legion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion
Result
4:4
30/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: May C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, FanDuel Sports Network SoCal
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.211.33
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
90% (411/456)86% (357/415)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
2.211.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.471.84
Total shots
129
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
90% (411/456)86% (357/415)
Long passes
68% (39/57)48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
72% (80/111)82% (115/141)
Crosses
40% (6/15)44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.80
Throw-ins
1613
Fouls
1414
Tackles
79% (11/14)80% (16/20)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
1311
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.842.47
Goals prevented
-1.16-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Daley A. ⚽, Tregarthen S. (A),
  • 16', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 21', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Miles A. ⚽, Guimaraes P. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 2, Damus R. ⚽, Martinez E. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 2, Zubak E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', McIllhatton S. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
  • 46', Hamouda R. ↓, Paterson AJ ↑,
  • 48', Ciotta N. 🟨,
  • 52', 2 - 3, Latinovich V. (Own goal),
  • 54', 3 - 3, Guimaraes P. ⚽, Doghman R. (A),
  • 56', Jamison B. 🟨,
  • 57', Suarez S. 🟨,
  • 62', 3 - 4, Tregarthen S. ⚽, Martinez E. (A),
  • 66', 4 - 4, Hegardt C. ⚽,
  • 71', Jamison B. ↓, Molina R. ↑,
  • 71', Sylla O. ↓, Karam G. ↑,
  • 74', Molina R. 🟨,
  • 84', Laszo E. 🟨,
  • 86', Martinez E. ↓, Rufe J. ↑,
  • 86', Tregarthen S. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
  • 89', Zubak E. ↓, War M. ↑,
  • 90', Daley A. ↓, Centeno E. ↑,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
49.6%		Draw
25.8%		Birmingham Legion
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 25.7% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 25.2% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
    •

    Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.9 ↑
    (1.87)    		 3.66 ↑
    (3.6)    		 3.82 ↑
    (3.71)    		 6.2%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orange County SC (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Orange County SC will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Orange County SC is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Birmingham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
    • Orange County SC might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Birmingham Legion - Orange County SC 3:0
    22.04.2023 Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    23.08.2025 Tulsa - Orange County SC 1:0
    16.08.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Orange County SC 0:1
    09.08.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Orange County SC 1:1 ✺
    30.07.2025 Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising 4:1 ✺
    26.07.2025 Oakland Roots - Orange County SC 0:1
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    23.08.2025 Birmingham Legion - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:1
    20.08.2025 Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion 1:0
    09.08.2025 Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic 1:4
    02.08.2025 Phoenix Rising - Birmingham Legion 3:3 ✺
    26.07.2025 Birmingham Legion - Forward Madison 2:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina ✔ 271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Rhode Island27971123:27-434
    9Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic ✔ 26128639:211844
    3New Mexico ✔ 271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights27671420:46-2625

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
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