Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League
Football Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare
Result
3:1
20/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.562.58
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1323
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
78% (252/324)87% (475/549)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.562.58
xG on target (xGOT)
2.581.57
Total shots
1323
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
210
Shots inside the Box
814
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1426
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
78% (252/324)87% (475/549)
Long passes
33% (20/60)37% (16/43)
Passes in final third
59% (52/88)81% (154/190)
Crosses
21% (3/14)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.92
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
1210
Tackles
70% (7/10)80% (4/5)
Duels won
4137
Clearances
2416
Interceptions
81
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.572.58
Goals prevented
0.57-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Inagaki S. ⚽,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Nagai K. ⚽,
  • 45+3', 3 - 0, Yamagishi Y. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ikeda M. ↓, Hiraoka T. ↑,
  • 46', Ze Ricardo ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
  • 46', Ota S. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
  • 46', Fujii T. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
  • 47', Okuno K. 🟨,
  • 54', Yamagishi Y. 🟨,
  • 56', Yamagishi Y. 🟨,
  • 62', Izumi R. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
  • 62', Onose K. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
  • 72', Nagai K. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
  • 72', Asano Y. ↓, Kato G. ↑,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Suzuki A. ⚽,
  • 84', Okuno H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
64.8%		Draw
21.4%		Shonan Bellmare
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 24.8% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 24% 18.8%

Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.63 ↓
(1.71)		 5.24 ↑
(3.85)		 8.54 ↑
(4.93)		 -7.9%
(4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 35% – 88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nagoya is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Hara T. (Injury) Kawazura A. (Ankle Injury) Kikuchi T. (Knee Injury) Mateus (Ankle Injury) Schmidt D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shonan Bellmare: Oda Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1
    24.08.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 0:1
    16.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare 1:1
    11.11.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1
    23.04.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare 2:2
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    13.09.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus 0:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 1:1 ✺
    27.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:4 ✺
    23.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale 3:4 ✺
    16.08.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    13.09.2025 Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare 3:0 ✺
    07.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺
    03.09.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka 4:5 ✺
    23.08.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Shonan Bellmare 1:0 ✺
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers36217855:302570
    2Kashiwa Reysol361912556:332369
    3Vissel Kobe36189946:311563
    4Kyoto361711859:401962
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima361881042:261662
    6Kawasaki Frontale361512966:511557
    7Machida361691149:361357
    8Gamba Osaka361661449:53-454
    9Urawa Reds3614111140:39153
    10Cerezo Osaka3614101258:51752
    11FC Tokyo361391440:47-748
    12Avispa Fukuoka3611121333:37-445
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3611111440:48-844
    14Verdy3611101522:36-1443
    15Okayama361191632:41-942
    16Yokohama F. Marinos361171842:44-240
    17Nagoya Grampus3610101642:53-1140
    18Yokohama FC36882024:43-1932
    19Shonan Bellmare36782134:61-2729
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 364112134:63-2923

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
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