Result
3:2
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.59 | 1.37 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
86% (450/521) | 77% (217/282) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.59 | 1.37 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.21 | 1.99 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
86% (450/521) | 77% (217/282) |
Long passes |
---|
30% (13/44) | 40% (22/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
79% (142/179) | 68% (76/111) |
Crosses |
---|
15% (2/13) | 26% (5/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.62 | 1.11 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
88% (7/8) | 45% (5/11) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
33 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
0 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.99 | 2.21 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.01 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Adailton ⚽, Joao Paulo (A),
- 43', Hummet D. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 54', Nduka B. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, Usami T. (Pen),
- 57', Yamane T. ↓, Endo T. ↑,
- 58', Joao Paulo ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
- 63', Hatsuse R. ↓, Miura G. ↑,
- 69', Lukian ↓, Ito S. ↑,
- 69', Adailton ↓, Muroi K. ↑,
- 75', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 75', Welton ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
- 75', Mitsuta M. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Usami T. ⚽,
- 82', Ogura H. ↓, Kumakura K. ↑,
- 86', Usami T. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Muroi K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka 46.1% | Draw 28.3% | Yokohama FC 25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Yokohama FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↓ (2.11) |
3.32 ↓ (3.39) |
3.69 ↑ (3.41) |
6.1% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC?
Users Predictions:
Gamba Osaka will win
(18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gamba Osaka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Yokohama FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gamba Osaka could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Yokohama FC: Leo Bahia
(Knee Injury)
Miyata I.
(Muscle Injury)
Murata T.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Yokohama FC?
Gamba Osaka has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama FC won against Gamba Osaka?
Yokohama FC has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC were as follows:
20.04.2025
Yokohama FC
-
Gamba Osaka
1:1
01.07.2023
Yokohama FC
-
Gamba Osaka
0:0
23.04.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Yokohama FC
1:1
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of Yokohama FC
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kyoto | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47:30 | 17 | 51 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
3 | Machida | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
5 | Vissel Kobe | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 33:19 | 14 | 49 |
7 | Urawa Reds | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 42 |
9 | Okayama | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 26:23 | 3 | 39 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 37 |
12 | Gamba Osaka | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Verdy | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 31 |
15 | FC Tokyo | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:41 | -12 | 30 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Shonan Bellmare | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:42 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League