Canberra Raiders vs Dolphins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Canberra Raiders - Dolphins
Result
40:28
27/04/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL

Match Stats

Tries
75
Conversion Goals
54
Conversion Goal Attempts
75
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
10
Goals %
7580
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
178173
Metres Run With Ball
18051664

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 28)
  • 9', Tamale S. (Try),
  • 11', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 13', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
  • 15', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 19', Farnworth H. (Try),
  • 21', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 26', Saifiti D. (Try),
  • 28', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Weekes K. (Try),
  • 32', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Isaako J. (Try),
  • 36', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Averillo J. (Try),
  • 40+1', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (30 - 0)
  • 50', Hosking Z. (Try),
  • 51', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 61', Strange E. (Try),
  • 63', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 66', Nicholson M. (Try),
  • 67', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 72', Kris S. (Try),
  • 74', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 79', Fogarty J. (Try),
  • 80', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80+1', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Canberra Raiders
61.6%
Draw
4.3%
Dolphins
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 3.9% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4% 4.1% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canberra Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Dolphins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canberra Raiders that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Canberra Raiders - Dolphins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.56)
    20.78
    (23.8)
    2.73
    (2.55)
    7.7%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for Canberra Raiders - Dolphins?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Canberra will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dolphins will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dolphins (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:23.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Dolphins could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Canberra have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Dolphins have a series of home games.
    • Canberra will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Canberra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 57:55 (average 28.5:27.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Canberra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 31:30
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Raiders - Dolphins were as follows:
    01.06.2024 Dolphins - Canberra Raiders 25:26
    Latest results of Dolphins
    18.04.2025 Dolphins - Melbourne Storm 42:22
    10.04.2025 Dolphins - Penrith Panthers 30:12
    05.04.2025 Gold Coast Titans - Dolphins 10:36
    28.03.2025 Dolphins - Brisbane Broncos 12:20
    22.03.2025 Dolphins - Wests Tigers 18:30
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders22184606:43442
    2Melbourne Storm22175647:38940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs22157500:38636
    4New Zealand Warriors22148469:44334
    5Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    6Penrith Panthers22129532:42131
    7Brisbane Broncos21129566:45230
    8Sydney Roosters221111577:50528
    9Dolphins221012623:54226
    10Manly Sea Eagles221012488:48426
    11Wests Tigers21912411:51824
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons22814454:54822
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57222
    14NQ Cowboys22813474:61821
    15Parramatta Eels22814410:54620
    16Newcastle Knights21615300:48618
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )