Result
2:0
19/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 12
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (490/560) | 89% (449/506) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (490/560) | 89% (449/506) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (24/39) | 46% (12/26) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (150/194) | 84% (116/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 2.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Pedro (A),
- 18', de Arrascaeta G. 🟨,
- 44', Leo Pereira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Willian Jose ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 46', Gilberto ↓, Caio Alexandre ↑,
- 66', Samuel Lino ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 74', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 74', Erick Pulga ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 79', Evertton Araujo ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
- 79', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Lucas Paqueta ⚽, Niguez S. (A),
- 85', Plata G. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 85', Pedro ↓, Everton ↑,
- 85', Olivera C. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Flamengo
64.7% | Draw
21.1% | Bahia
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Flamengo - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.46) |
4.48 ↑
(4.05) |
6.65 ↑
(6.3) |
5.6%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Bahia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 4.
- Flamengo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bahia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Flamengo is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Carrascal J.
(Red Card)
Jorginho
(Inactive)
Pulgar E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bahia: Ronaldo Strada
(Injury)
Ruan Pablo
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Ademir
(Injury)
Kanu
(Hamstring Injury)
- We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:18. (average 2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 2.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Bahia?
Flamengo has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Flamengo?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Bahia were as follows:
05.10.2025
Bahia
-
Flamengo
1:0
10.05.2025
Flamengo
-
Bahia
1:0
05.10.2024
Bahia
-
Flamengo
0:2
12.09.2024
Flamengo
-
Bahia
1:0
28.08.2024
Bahia
-
Flamengo
0:1
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
