Flamengo vs Bahia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Flamengo - Bahia
Result
1:0
10/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 8
Flamengo - Bahia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.47
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
90% (488/543)85% (295/349)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.620.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.590.30
Total shots
146
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
911
Passes
90% (488/543)85% (295/349)
Long passes
61% (27/44)41% (14/34)
Passes in final third
83% (124/150)77% (56/73)
Crosses
19% (5/26)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.76
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
119
Tackles
78% (14/18)47% (8/17)
Duels won
4442
Clearances
1224
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.300.59
Goals prevented
0.30-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. , Michael (A),
  • 15', Allan , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 39', Pulgar E. , Evertton Araujo ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Kayky , Everton Ribeiro ,
  • 62', Jean Lucas , Cauly ,
  • 62', Luciano Juba , Erick Pulga ,
  • 80', Bruno Henrique , Everton ,
  • 81', de Arrascaeta G. , Pedro ,
  • 81', Michael , Wallace Yan ,
  • 81', Rodriguez L. , Willian Jose ,
  • 81', Rodrigo , Tiago ,
  • 87', Gerson 🟥,
  • 90+4', Ramos S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Flamengo
67%
Draw
21%
Bahia
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 26.2% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 25.3% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.
  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Flamengo - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.67)
    4.52
    (3.6)
    7.91
    (5.44)
    5.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Flamengo - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Bahia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 54%99.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 5.
    • Flamengo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bahia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Flamengo has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Flamengo is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Everton (Calf Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury) de la Cruz N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Bahia: Arias S. (Muscle Injury) Caio Alexandre (Yellow Cards) Erick (Yellow Cards) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Ronaldo Strada (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: Plata G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Gilberto (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:21. (average 2.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Bahia were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Bahia - Flamengo 0:2
    12.09.2024 Flamengo - Bahia 1:0
    28.08.2024 Bahia - Flamengo 0:1
    20.06.2024 Flamengo - Bahia 2:1
    30.09.2023 Flamengo - Bahia 1:0
    Latest results of Flamengo
    04.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 2:1
    01.05.2025 Botafogo PB - Flamengo 0:1
    27.04.2025 Flamengo - Corinthians 4:0
    22.04.2025 LDU Quito - Flamengo 0:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    03.05.2025 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    30.04.2025 Paysandu - Bahia 0:1
    27.04.2025 Palmeiras - Bahia 0:1
    24.04.2025 Bahia - Atlético Nacional 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1383226:52127
    2Cruzeiro1383221:91227
    3Bragantino1483318:14427
    4Bahia1373316:12424
    5Palmeiras1272313:9423
    6Botafogo RJ1364316:7922
    7Fluminense1162315:12320
    8Atletico-MG1355314:12220
    9Corinthians1454515:17-219
    10Ceara1353514:12218
    11Mirassol1246218:13518
    12Gremio1344513:19-616
    13Santos1342712:14-214
    14Internacional1335513:18-514
    15Vasco1341814:18-413
    16Sao Paulo1427512:18-613
    17Vitoria1426610:15-512
    18Juventude1232710:24-1411
    19Fortaleza1324712:19-710
    20Sport Recife120395:20-153

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Flamengo - Bahia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chinaChinaK-Ball
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