Independiente Medellín vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/05/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
23.5%
Draw
28.3%
Flamengo
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.9% 25.5% 51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6% 25.2% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Independiente Medellín - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4
    (4.13)
    3.34
    (3.7)
    1.96
    (1.83)
    6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Flamengo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ind Medellín has had a series of home games.
    • Flamengo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ind Medellín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Flamengo were as follows:
    16.04.2026 Flamengo - Independiente Medellín 4:1
    Latest results of Flamengo
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin31113:5-24
    4Cusco30031:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33007:259
    2Bolivar31113:214
    3La Guaira30212:5-32
    4Fluminense30121:4-31


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors42025:326
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC41032:6-43


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians33006:069
    2Platense32014:406
    3Santa Fe30122:5-31
    4Penarol30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras42206:338
    2Sporting Cristal42024:406
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus42022:5-36
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready41034:403


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central43105:0510
    2Ind. del Valle42116:517
    3Universidad Central42026:7-16
    4Libertad Asuncion40043:8-50

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