Aldosivi vs San Martín de San Juan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
15/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.60
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
54% (129/239)60% (170/283)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.60
xG on target (xGOT)
2.832.50
Total shots
149
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
2012
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
54% (129/239)60% (170/283)
Long passes
45% (36/80)25% (18/72)
Passes in final third
48% (47/98)42% (40/95)
Crosses
29% (4/14)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.51
Throw-ins
1827
Fouls
1710
Tackles
87% (13/15)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5145
Clearances
1718
Interceptions
32
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.502.83
Goals prevented
0.50-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Lecanda T. 🟨,
  • 21', De La Vega F. 🟨,
  • 45', Tijanovich H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 2)
  • 46', De La Vega F. , Rami F. ,
  • 60', Maestro I. , Barrera S. ,
  • 61', Watson N. , Jaurena S. ,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Barrera S. , Fernandez T. (A),
  • 65', Cerato G. 🟨,
  • 69', Serrago T. , Palavecino A. ,
  • 69', Guzman N. , Preciado E. ,
  • 74', Gonzalez S. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 74', Alvarez L. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Moya S. , Cabral Y. (A),
  • 77', 2 - 1, Rami F. , Palavecino A. (A),
  • 80', Recalde L. , Anselmo F. ,
  • 80', Tijanovich H. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 88', Moya S. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Fernandez T. (Pen),
  • 89', 3 - 2, Giani J. ,
  • 90+1', Giani J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Moya S. , Kummer T. ,
  • 90+3', Giani J. , Mottes G. ,
  • 90+9', 4 - 2, Preciado E. (Pen),
  • 90+10', Preciado E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Aldosivi
38.4%
Draw
32.8%
San Martín de San Juan
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 33.3% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 34.7% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aldosivi's performance.
  • San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de San Juan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aldosivi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de San Juan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (3.1)
    2.97
    (2.8)
    3.26
    (2.55)
    2.4%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 1 - 10%). San Martín will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Martín (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Aldosivi (1.67) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Aldosivi (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Aldosivi (votes: 2 - 40%). San Martín (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 2.
    • Aldosivi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, San Martín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aldosivi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N. (Knee Injury) Garcia M. (Inactive) Godoy F. (Foot Injury) Rodriguez E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in San Martín: Diarte L. (Injury) Pelaitay N. (Injury) Toloza F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aldosivi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan were as follows:
    04.05.2025 San Martín de San Juan - Aldosivi 0:3
    14.06.2023 Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan 0:1
    Latest results of Aldosivi
    Latest results of San Martín de San Juan
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente ✔ 1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo ✔ 1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 16104229:151434
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1685317:13429
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1684420:16428
    5Belgrano ✔ 1675417:13426
    6Gimnasia L.P. ✔ 1682619:19026
    7Huracan1657417:13422
    8Racing Club1656517:15221
    9Barracas Central1656515:15021
    10Tigre1648418:15320
    11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)