Lexington vs North Carolina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Lexington - North Carolina
Result
2:1
05/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.990.46
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
89% (414/465)87% (351/402)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.990.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.800.46
Total shots
99
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1510
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
148
Passes
89% (414/465)87% (351/402)
Long passes
54% (20/37)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
69% (68/99)62% (40/65)
Crosses
38% (3/8)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.15
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
814
Tackles
91% (10/11)56% (5/9)
Duels won
3826
Clearances
2925
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.461.80
Goals prevented
-0.54-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Gilbert G. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Ajago F. , Ferri B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Maldonado M. 🟨,
  • 64', Rodrigues B. P. , Epps M. ,
  • 67', Craig P. 🟨,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Nick Firmino ,
  • 73', Anderson O. , Roberts T. ,
  • 73', Maldonado M. , Pedro Becker ,
  • 77', Adedokun M. , Greene J. ,
  • 85', Donovan C. , Da Costa R. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Da Costa R. ,
  • 89', Nick Firmino , Zengue X. ,
  • 89', Craig P. , Malou J. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
41.1%
Draw
28.8%
North Carolina
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 28.6% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 27.8% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Lexington - North Carolina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.33)
    3.19
    (3.24)
    3.06
    (2.93)
    8.7%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - North Carolina were as follows:
    07.10.2023 Lexington - North Carolina 0:1
    18.06.2023 North Carolina - Lexington 2:2
    Latest results of Lexington
    Latest results of North Carolina
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 24176148:183057
    2Charleston ✔ 24163550:272351
    3Loudoun24114939:40-137
    4North Carolina23113935:32336
    5Hartford Athletic24105937:271035
    6Detroit2488829:30-132
    7Pittsburgh2487923:23031
    8Rhode Island24761117:24-727
    9Indy Eleven24751236:43-726
    10Tampa Bay24741331:38-725
    11Birmingham244101030:42-1222
    12Miami FC24561322:38-1621


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa24137439:261346
    2Sacramento Republic23108535:191638
    3New Mexico231031031:31033
    4San Antonio2396831:30133
    5El Paso2388737:33432
    6Lexington2488826:30-432
    7Colorado Springs2387832:33-131
    8Phoenix Rising24710740:42-231
    9Orange County SC2285934:34029
    10Oakland Roots23741228:37-925
    11Las Vegas Lights24671118:39-2125
    12Monterey Bay25661324:36-1224

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