Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        05/09/2025 at  18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  USL Championship
 
                                                - Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.46 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 53% | 47% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 89% (414/465) | 87% (351/402) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.46 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.46 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 0 | 6 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 15 | 10 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 14 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 89% (414/465) | 87% (351/402) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 54% (20/37) | 41% (16/39) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 69% (68/99) | 62% (40/65) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 7% (1/14) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.15 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 19 | 20 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 8 | 14 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 56% (5/9) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 38 | 26 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 29 | 25 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.80 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.20 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 9', Gilbert G. 🟨, 
 - 45+2', 1 - 0, Ajago F. ⚽, Ferri B. (A), 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 1)
 - 49', Maldonado M. 🟨, 
 - 64', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Epps M. ↑, 
 - 67', Craig P. 🟨, 
 - 72', 2 - 0, Nick Firmino ⚽, 
 - 73', Anderson O. ↓, Roberts T. ↑, 
 - 73', Maldonado M. ↓, Pedro Becker ↑, 
 - 77', Adedokun M. ↓, Greene J. ↑, 
 - 85', Donovan C. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑, 
 - 87', 2 - 1, Da Costa R. ⚽, 
 - 89', Nick Firmino ↓, Zengue X. ↑, 
 - 89', Craig P. ↓, Malou J. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Lexington  41.1% | Draw  28.8% | North Carolina  30.1% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Lexington - North Carolina Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.24 ↓ (2.33) | 
			   3.19 ↓ (3.24) | 
			   3.06 ↑ (2.93) | 
			   8.7% (8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  - In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
 - In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
 - Including home match between the teams, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against North Carolina?
                    
                    
                        
                            Lexington has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Lexington?
                    
                    
                        
                             North Carolina has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - North Carolina were as follows:
                                                        
                                07.10.2023 
                                Lexington 
                                - 
                                North Carolina 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                18.06.2023 
                                North Carolina 
                                - 
                                Lexington 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Lexington                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of North Carolina