Louisville City vs North Carolina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY).

USL Championship
Referee: Flores G. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.83	1.11
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
8	7
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
76% (312/413)	64% (183/285)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83	1.11
xG on target (xGOT)
2.79	1.39
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
8	7
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
18	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	4
Free Kicks
9	9
Passes
76% (312/413)	64% (183/285)
Long passes
35% (23/66)	29% (23/79)
Passes in final third
56% (69/124)	42% (40/95)
Crosses
40% (8/20)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.44	0.92
Throw-ins
11	25
Fouls
9	9
Tackles
100% (7/7)	88% (7/8)
Duels won
50	33
Clearances
22	23
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	4
xGOT faced
1.39	2.79
Goals prevented
0.39	-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Lambert K. ⚽, McFadden A. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Anderson O. ⚽,
32', McFadden A. 🟨,
38', Maldonado M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Totsch S. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
47', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
50', 2 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Gleadle S. (A),
62', 3 - 1, Wilson J. ⚽, Gleadle S. (A),
69', Adams K. 🟨,
69', Pedro Becker 🟨,
76', Burner P. ↓, Servania J. ↑,
76', Craig P. ↓, Hodge T. ↑,
81', Wilson J. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
81', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
82', Pedro Becker ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
86', Anderson O. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
88', 4 - 1, Davila E. ⚽, Serrano R. (A),
89', McFadden A. ↓, Dayes B. ↑,
90', Serrano R. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Louisville City
62.1%

Draw
21.9%

North Carolina
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

22.7%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

21.4%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Louisville City - North Carolina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.53)	4.24 ↑ (4.07)	5.76 ↑ (5.48)	8% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 4.
Louisville City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
North Carolina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Louisville City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Louisville City is seen as the favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against North Carolina?

Louisville City has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Louisville City?

North Carolina has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - North Carolina were as follows:

29.06.2025 Louisville City - North Carolina 1:0

20.06.2025 North Carolina - Louisville City 2:1

02.11.2024 Louisville City - North Carolina 3:2

31.08.2024 North Carolina - Louisville City 4:6

08.06.2024 Louisville City - North Carolina 2:1

Latest results of Louisville City

29.07.2025 Louisville City - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:5 ✺

26.07.2025 Lexington - Louisville City 1:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Louisville City - Tulsa 1:1 ✺

04.07.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Louisville City 0:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Louisville City - North Carolina 1:0 ✺

Latest results of North Carolina

26.07.2025 North Carolina - Loudoun United 2:1 ✺

18.07.2025 North Carolina - Indy Eleven 4:2 ✺

11.07.2025 North Carolina - Birmingham Legion 2:3 ✺

06.07.2025 Charleston Battery - North Carolina 1:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Louisville City - North Carolina 1:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	5	4	1	0	10:3	7	13
2	Louisville City	6	4	1	1	14:9	5	13
3	Detroit	5	3	1	1	6:2	4	10
4	Charleston	5	3	0	2	7:7	0	9
5	Miami FC	6	2	3	1	7:7	0	9
6	Hartford Athletic	6	2	3	1	7:7	0	9
7	Indy Eleven	5	2	2	1	8:6	2	8
8	Pittsburgh	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7
9	Brooklyn	6	2	0	4	5:9	-4	6
10	Rhode Island	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5
11	Birmingham	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
12	Loudoun	5	0	3	2	8:11	-3	3
13	Sporting Jax	6	0	1	5	5:13	-8	1

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	7	4	2	1	7:3	4	14
2	El Paso	5	4	1	0	14:5	9	13
3	San Antonio	7	3	3	1	5:3	2	12
4	Sacramento Republic	6	2	3	1	7:4	3	9
5	Oakland Roots	5	2	2	1	7:6	1	8
6	New Mexico	5	2	0	3	5:8	-3	6
7	Phoenix Rising	6	1	3	2	8:8	0	6
8	Colorado Springs	5	1	2	2	8:9	-1	5
9	Las Vegas Lights	6	1	2	3	9:11	-2	5
10	Lexington	6	1	2	3	6:8	-2	5
11	FC Tulsa	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5
12	Monterey Bay	6	0	2	4	2:9	-7	2

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)