Gimnasia La Plata vs Platense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Gimnasia La Plata - Platense
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.79
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
133
Passes
83% (385/465)65% (179/276)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.83
Total shots
169
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
133
Touches in opposition box
4017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
138
Passes
83% (385/465)65% (179/276)
Long passes
65% (37/57)32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
73% (147/202)46% (41/89)
Crosses
23% (11/47)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.49
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
813
Tackles
70% (7/10)50% (8/16)
Duels won
7459
Clearances
3145
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.830.94
Goals prevented
0.83-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Jan Hurtado 🟨,
  • 37', Juarez F. 🟨,
  • 39', Silva Torrejon P. , Melluso M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Juarez F. , Roldan E. ,
  • 60', Orsini N. 🟨,
  • 63', Orsini N. , Martinez R. ,
  • 63', Mainero G. , Schor I. ,
  • 63', Zapiola F. , Minerva F. ,
  • 73', Merlini B. 🟨,
  • 73', Lotti A. , Toloza S. ,
  • 77', Suso G. , Garayalde N. ,
  • 77', De Blasis P. , Villarreal S. ,
  • 78', Jan Hurtado , Mammini I. ,
  • 83', Merlini B. , Mamut L. ,
  • 85', Barros Schelotto B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Garayalde N. , Pintado J. (A),
  • 90+5', Schor I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
38.6%
Draw
34.1%
Platense
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 32.1% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 33.7% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Platense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.43)
    2.76
    (2.95)
    3.38
    (3.27)
    5.4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Platense?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Platense will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Platense: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Platense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Platense is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Gimnasia La Plata has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Platense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Platense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Castro L. (Yellow Cards) Jan Hurtado (Muscle Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Piedrahita A. (Muscle Injury) Torres F. (Knee Injury) Villarreal S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Platense: Bay J. (Knee Injury) Cervera T. (Muscle Injury) Goni G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodriguez M. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Platense were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Platense - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0
    30.07.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Platense 1:1
    Latest results of Platense
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central43017:529
    2Estudiantes L.P43015:329
    3Huracan53024:5-19
    4Union de Santa Fe52216:248
    5Belgrano52215:238
    6Defensa y Justicia52215:328
    7Tigre52125:507
    8Central Cordoba41304:316
    9Newells Old Boys51315:506
    10Argentinos Jrs51222:3-15
    11Ind. Rivadavia41125:414
    12Banfield41124:6-24
    13Racing Club51133:5-24
    14Boca Juniors40312:3-13
    15Aldosivi50321:5-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus53025:329
    2River Plate42207:168
    3San Lorenzo52214:318
    4Velez Sarsfield52214:318
    5Rosario Central51403:217
    6Dep. Riestra52125:507
    7Gimnasia L.P52124:407
    8Platense51314:5-16
    9Atl. Tucuman41213:305
    10Sarmiento Junin41213:4-15
    11Instituto51222:9-75
    12San Martin S.J41124:5-14
    13Talleres Cordoba41123:4-14
    14Godoy Cruz40312:3-13
    15Independiente50234:7-32

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)