Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
4:0
30/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.691.29
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
72% (143/200)88% (510/581)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.691.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.960.05
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
88
Blocked Shots
112
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
613
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
84
Passes
72% (143/200)88% (510/581)
Long passes
38% (19/50)61% (25/41)
Passes in final third
63% (44/70)75% (136/182)
Crosses
18% (2/11)26% (8/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.87
Throw-ins
1322
Fouls
48
Tackles
71% (5/7)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3931
Clearances
4318
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.052.96
Goals prevented
0.05-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Dieng M. ⚽, Hairston M. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Dieng M. ⚽,
  • 26', 3 - 0, Ngalina M. ⚽, Jimenez J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zelalem G. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
  • 46', Hurst G. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
  • 60', Luiz Fernando ↓, Harris D. ↑,
  • 60', Lindsey J. ↓, Seymore W. ↑,
  • 63', Jimenez J. ↓, Makangila B. ↑,
  • 66', Noel V. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
  • 68', Hairston M. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
  • 79', Dieng M. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
  • 82', 4 - 0, Edwards K. ⚽,
  • 87', Gloster C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hartford Athletic
42%		Draw
25.6%		New Mexico United
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 25.6% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 25.2% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+5%)
    •

    Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.2 ↓
    (2.54)    		 3.61 ↑
    (3.61)    		 2.86 ↑
    (2.43)    		 8.1%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hartford will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). New Mexico will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - New Mexico (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. New Mexico (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United were as follows:
    08.06.2024 New Mexico United - Hartford Athletic 1:0
    05.08.2023 Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United 2:1
    Latest results of Hartford Athletic
    26.07.2025 Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic 2:3
    19.07.2025 Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic 0:0
    16.07.2025 Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:1
    12.07.2025 Detroit City - Hartford Athletic 1:2 ✺
    20.06.2025 Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    26.07.2025 San Antonio - New Mexico United 2:3
    12.07.2025 New Mexico United - Charleston Battery 1:2
    04.07.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United 1:0
    21.06.2025 New Mexico United - San Antonio 4:2
    14.06.2025 Lexington - New Mexico United 2:1
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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