Swindon Town vs Peterborough United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
02/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Baines D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.67
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
89
Passes
70% (255/362)84% (476/566)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.451.40
Total shots
917
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
89
Touches in opposition box
2030
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
38
Passes
70% (255/362)84% (476/566)
Long passes
34% (26/76)39% (16/41)
Passes in final third
52% (48/92)71% (87/123)
Crosses
16% (3/19)15% (5/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.80
Throw-ins
2633
Fouls
83
Tackles
68% (15/22)61% (11/18)
Duels won
3952
Clearances
3831
Interceptions
166
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.400.45
Goals prevented
1.40-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Oldaker D. , Drinan A. ,
  • 58', Kilkenny G. , Clarke O. ,
  • 58', Ball J. , Nichols T. ,
  • 58', Bodin B. , Tabor J. ,
  • 58', Glatzel P. , Snowdon J. ,
  • 63', Munroe F. 🟨,
  • 65', Frith D. , Lisbie K. ,
  • 77', Garbett M. , Lindgren G. ,
  • 77', Woods B. , O'Brien-Brady D. ,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Clarke O. ,
  • 89', Odoh A. , Lolos K. ,
  • 89', Leonard H. , Khela B. ,

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
33.7%
Draw
25.5%
Peterborough United
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 24.9% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 25.1% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Swindon Town - Peterborough United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.56)
    3.59
    (3.71)
    2.26
    (2.36)
    8.9%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Peterborough United?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Peterborough will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 0.
    • Swindon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Peterborough has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Peterborough United were as follows:
    08.08.2023 Peterborough United - Swindon Town 2:1
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2