Result
4:0
25/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 45
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (130/250) | 68% (279/408) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (130/250) | 68% (279/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/67) | 28% (22/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (49/111) | 63% (89/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -2.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Kabia J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 22', 2 - 0, Kacurri M. ⚽, Staunton R. (A),
- 43', 3 - 0, Kabia J. ⚽, Staunton R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
- 46', Knight-Lebel J. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
- 46', Hoilett J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
- 46', Bodin B. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
- 58', 4 - 0, Kabia J. ⚽,
- 61', Oduor C. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
- 61', Rodgers H. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
- 62', Kabia J. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
- 71', Drinan A. ↓, Middlemas B. ↑,
- 78', Amaluzor J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
- 78', Green K. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
- 88', Mabete F. 🟨,
- 90+6', McGregor J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
54.6% | Draw
24.1% | Swindon Town
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Grimsby Town - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.86) |
3.89 ↑
(3.74) |
4.39 ↑
(3.69) |
6.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
Grimsby Town will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1.
- Grimsby is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Swindon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Grimsby has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Grimsby is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Khouri E.
(Inactive)
Lavelle S.
(Injury)
Tharme D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Glatzel P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kilkenny G.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Tafazolli R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: McEachran G.
(Inactive)
Sellars-Fleming T.
(Injury)
Svanthorsson J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Grimsby will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 1.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Swindon Town?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Grimsby Town?
Swindon Town has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Swindon Town were as follows:
22.11.2025
Swindon Town
-
Grimsby Town
2:2
18.04.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Swindon Town
0:4
21.12.2024
Swindon Town
-
Grimsby Town
3:1
20.04.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Swindon Town
2:0
30.09.2023
Swindon Town
-
Grimsby Town
2:1
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
