Peterborough United vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 46
  • Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.102.19
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1621
Shots on target
613
Big chances
26
Corner kicks
63
Passes
80% (302/376)76% (241/319)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.102.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.143.66
Total shots
1621
Shots on target
613
Shots off target
36
Blocked shots
72
Shots inside the box
1216
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
26
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2129
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free kicks
1010
Passes
80% (302/376)76% (241/319)
Long passes
35% (13/37)48% (32/66)
Passes in final third
58% (51/88)64% (74/116)
Crosses
20% (4/20)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.68
Throw ins
2418
Fouls
1010
Tackles
45% (5/11)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4446
Clearances
3233
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
105
xGOT faced
3.661.14
Goals prevented
0.660.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Shofowoke B. , Kamara D. ,
  • 38', Mills H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Sharp B. , Broadbent G. (A),
  • 66', Khela B. , Sykut P. ,
  • 66', Mills H. , Mendy J. ,
  • 67', Robinson D. , Clifton H. ,
  • 68', Grehan S. 🟨,
  • 71', Adelakun H. , Lee E. ,
  • 73', 0 - 2, Sharp B. , Clifton H. (A),
  • 76', 1 - 2, Leonard H. , Dornelly J. (A),
  • 78', Dornelly J. , Aderoju O. ,
  • 79', 1 - 3, Sharp B. , Lee E. (A),
  • 83', Hanlan B. , Williams K. ,
  • 83', Grehan S. , McCann B. ,
  • 83', Lo-Tutala T. , Oram J. ,
  • 87', Lee E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Peterborough United
35.8%
Draw
25.5%
Doncaster Rovers
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 26.2% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 26% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Peterborough United - Doncaster Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.46)
    3.65
    (3.56)
    2.42
    (2.61)
    6.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Doncaster Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: Doncaster Rovers will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 17 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 2.
    • Peterborough has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Doncaster has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Doncaster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Johnston C. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Doncaster: Maxwell J. (Inactive) Molyneux L. (Inactive) Okoronkwo F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Peterborough: O'Brien-Brady D. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Peterborough United 2:1
    02.12.2023 Peterborough United - Doncaster Rovers 2:1
    Latest results of Peterborough United
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two