Result
1:0
10/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 20
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (346/413) | 83% (445/536) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (346/413) | 83% (445/536) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (16/46) | 40% (24/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (71/100) | 51% (44/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Philogene J. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Lawal B. ↓, Rigo T. ↑,
- 67', Mubama D. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
- 67', Cisse L. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
- 75', Taylor J. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
- 75', Egeli S. W. ↓, Clarke H. ↑,
- 75', Azon I. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 80', Matusiwa A. 🟨,
- 83', Nunez M. ↓, Szmodics S. ↑,
- 84', N'Zonzi S. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
- 84', Bae J. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
- 90', Talovierov M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ipswich Town
57.2% | Draw
24.2% | Stoke City
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ipswich Town - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.62) |
3.91 ↓
(4.01) |
5.09 ↓
(5.22) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ipswich Town - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). Stoke will win (votes: 22 - 71%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 55% – 87%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stoke City will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
- In recent matches, Ipswich has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stoke has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Stoke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ipswich is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W.
(Knee Injury)
Clarke H.
(Knee Injury)
Palmer A.
(Calf Injury)
Townsend C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Baker L.
(Inactive)
Phillips A.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ipswich Town won against Stoke City?
Ipswich Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Ipswich Town?
Stoke City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ipswich Town - Stoke City were as follows:
01.01.2024
Stoke City
-
Ipswich Town
0:0
12.08.2023
Ipswich Town
-
Stoke City
2:0
Latest results of Ipswich Town
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 54:25 | 29 | 51 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Hull | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 40:37 | 3 | 41 |
| 5 | Millwall | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 27:32 | -5 | 39 |
| 6 | Watford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Preston | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 9 | QPR | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Stoke | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 11 | Wrexham | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leicester | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 34 |
| 13 | Southampton | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 32 |
| 14 | Derby | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 32 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:31 | 1 | 31 |
| 16 | West Brom | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:32 | -4 | 31 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 29 |
| 18 | Swansea | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 25:31 | -6 | 29 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 20 | Charlton | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 27 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 22 |
| 23 | Norwich | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 21 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 18:45 | -27 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
