Result
0:1
16/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 22
- Referee: Martins T. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Moja TV, Sportklub 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Montenegro | Sportklub 3 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start Triumph |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (195/253) | 86% (438/512) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (37/61) | 71% (86/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 36% (5/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 62% (8/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
- 48', 0 - 1, Moura F. ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
- 59', Jorge A. 🟨,
- 61', Danny Namaso ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
- 61', Franco A. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
- 63', Moreno M. 🟨,
- 64', Gul D. ↓, Samu ↑,
- 64', Njie Y. 🟨,
- 69', Perez N. 🟨,
- 71', Njie Y. ↓, Tomane ↑,
- 71', Matias M. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
- 72', Mora R. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
- 81', Menino M. ↓, Soares F. ↑,
- 81', Jorge A. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
- 81', Paulo Victor ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
- 84', Pepê ↓, Sousa V. ↑,
- 90+1', Joao Mario 🟨,
- 90+5', Ze Carlos 🟥,
Chances of winning
Farense
17.1% | Draw
24.6% | Porto
58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farense's performance.Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+14.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Farense - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.5 ↓
(8.4) |
3.82 ↓
(5.1) |
1.62 ↑
(1.38) |
6.3%
(4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Farense - Porto?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Porto will win (votes: 18 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 57.7% – 92.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location.
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- Farense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Porto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Farense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Porto is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Farense: Balde E.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:13 (average 0.8:2.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Porto?
Farense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Farense?
Porto has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Porto were as follows:
15.09.2024
Porto
-
Farense
2:1
28.01.2024
Farense
-
Porto
1:3
20.08.2023
Porto
-
Farense
2:1
Latest results of Farense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
