Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 26
- Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (449/523) | 68% (172/253) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (449/523) | 68% (172/253) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (32/52) | 40% (22/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (111/143) | 52% (45/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Ntcham O. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
- 31', 1 - 0, Makoumbou A. ⚽, Tavsan E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Makarov D. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
- 46', Sariarslan T. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Borevkovic T. (Own goal),
- 64', Onugkha G. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
- 73', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 73', Kayan Y. ↓, Kilinc E. ↑,
- 73', Tavsan E. ↓, Coulibaly T. ↑,
- 74', Tomasson L. 🟨,
- 77', Benes L. ↓, Saglam G. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Tomasson L. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
Chances of winning
Samsunspor
46.8% | Draw
28.6% | Kayserispor
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samsunspor's form might have worsened.Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samsunspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Samsunspor - Kayserispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.77) |
3.32 ↓
(3.83) |
3.88 ↓
(4.32) |
4.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Kayserispor?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 25.1% – 83.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Kayserispor (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Kayserispor (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 25%). Kayserispor (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Samsunspor is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Assoumou J.
(Injury)
Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Cift Y. E.
(Yellow Cards)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
Van Drongelen R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A.
(Suspended)
Celtik Y.
(Knee Injury)
Cihan K.
(Inactive)
Hosseini M.
(Injury)
Tokoz D.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Kayserispor: Carole L.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Kayserispor?
Samsunspor has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kayserispor won against Samsunspor?
Kayserispor has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Kayserispor were as follows:
19.10.2025
Kayserispor
-
Samsunspor
1:3
01.06.2025
Samsunspor
-
Kayserispor
2:1
11.01.2025
Kayserispor
-
Samsunspor
0:1
25.01.2024
Samsunspor
-
Kayserispor
2:0
27.08.2023
Kayserispor
-
Samsunspor
2:1
Latest results of Samsunspor
Latest results of Kayserispor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
