Sakaryaspor vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 15
  • Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.33
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
81% (383/471)77% (233/303)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.231.39
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
2515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
2216
Passes
81% (383/471)77% (233/303)
Long passes
61% (54/88)32% (18/56)
Passes in final third
63% (87/138)64% (47/73)
Crosses
22% (6/27)50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.560.36
Throw-ins
1813
Fouls
1622
Tackles
78% (14/18)88% (14/16)
Duels won
6643
Clearances
532
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.391.23
Goals prevented
0.390.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Ekincier B. (Pen),
  • 13', Dursun S. 🟨,
  • 18', Hoti E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cihan M. , Zwolinski L. ,
  • 46', Hoti E. , Bardhi J. ,
  • 46', Erdogan E. , Coban B. ,
  • 52', Erkin C. 🟥,
  • 56', Ben Yedder W. , Okumus A. ,
  • 59', Ekincier B. 🟨,
  • 64', Ekincier B. , Benny ,
  • 66', Ben Yedder W. 🟨,
  • 68', Vukovic J. 🟨,
  • 70', Djokanovic A. 🟨,
  • 72', Altiparmak B. , Demir M. ,
  • 74', Kosoko T. , Karasu M. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Zwolinski L. , Kakuta G. (A),
  • 86', Babacan A. 🟨,
  • 86', Babacan A. , Aktas K. ,
  • 87', Ozdemir T. , Sas Y. D. ,
  • 88', Karasu M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Coban B. , Akuazaoku U. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sakaryaspor
63.1%
Draw
21.2%
Umraniyespor
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 21.7% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 21% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.51)
    4.38
    (4.29)
    5.96
    (5.57)
    7.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Sakaryaspor is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bayram A. (Suspended) Demir E. (Injury) Kolovetsios D. (Knee Injury) Sanli B. (Inactive) Tekogul Y. (Suspended) Turken A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Benny (Red Card) Kaplan E. (Suspended) Saitoglu Y. (Suspended) Yilmaz Y. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Kosoko T. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Umraniyespor - Sakaryaspor 0:0
    29.09.2024 Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor 1:3
    28.01.2024 Umraniyespor - Sakaryaspor 1:1
    26.08.2023 Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor 1:1
    Latest results of Sakaryaspor
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor28179260:194160
    2Erokspor28178367:224559
    3Amedspor28167558:322655
    4Corum28155844:311350
    5Bodrumspor28146858:292948
    6Pendikspor28139643:222148
    7Igdir FK28128838:37144
    8Bandirmaspor281261040:32842
    9Keciorengucu281010853:361740
    10Manisa FK281171042:41140
    11Boluspor281151247:40738
    12Vanspor FK281081039:32738
    13Sivasspor28911836:29738
    14Istanbulspor AS28911837:41-438
    15Sariyer281051330:35-535
    16Umraniyespor28951433:38-532
    17Serik Spor28851529:54-2529
    18Sakaryaspor28671534:52-1825
    19Hatayspor28072120:77-577
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 28032516:125-109-39

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to