New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship New Mexico United - Charleston Battery
Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
New Mexico United - Charleston Battery - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.13
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
85% (414/489)82% (304/372)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.900.64
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
85% (414/489)82% (304/372)
Long passes
42% (16/38)50% (30/60)
Passes in final third
70% (85/121)56% (53/94)
Crosses
31% (4/13)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.78
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1912
Tackles
55% (11/20)43% (6/14)
Duels won
5051
Clearances
1715
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.640.90
Goals prevented
-0.36-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Vargas M. 🟨,
  • 32', Houssou N. 🟨,
  • 38', Jabang O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Jabang O. (Own goal),
  • 60', Segbers M. , Rubin R. ,
  • 60', Myers M. , Jennings C. ,
  • 60', Kelly J. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Maples T. (Pen),
  • 65', Vargas M. , Rivas S. ,
  • 65', Seymore W. , Gloster C. ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Rubin R. , Jennings C. (A),
  • 73', Ycaza E. , Allan C. ,
  • 76', Akale M. , Gaines M. ,
  • 76', Bailey Z. , Pondeca T. ,
  • 76', Amang T. , Hurst G. ,
  • 88', Hurst G. 🟨,
  • 89', Torres J. , Archer L. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Mexico United
28.7%
Draw
28.2%
Charleston Battery
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 25.9% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 25.4% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.
  • Charleston Battery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleston Battery's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Mexico United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • New Mexico United - Charleston Battery Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (2.49)
    3.27
    (3.55)
    2.15
    (2.46)
    8.3%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by New Mexico have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Charleston Battery is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Charleston Battery were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Charleston Battery - New Mexico United 4:0
    02.09.2023 New Mexico United - Charleston Battery 0:1
    Latest results of Charleston Battery
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston17122335:161938
    2Louisville City16114129:121737
    3Loudoun1582524:20426
    4North Carolina1572621:18323
    5Pittsburgh1462612:12020
    6Indy Eleven1555524:24020
    7Detroit1655620:22-220
    8Miami FC1553716:21-518
    9Birmingham1746719:24-518
    10Rhode Island1644814:18-416
    11Hartford Athletic1333715:20-512
    12Tampa Bay15321016:25-911


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio1683523:21227
    2New Mexico1581622:17525
    3FC Tulsa1474321:14725
    4Sacramento Republic1565422:121023
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1764718:21-322
    8Las Vegas Lights1653813:24-1118
    9Lexington1646617:23-618
    10Orange County SC1452718:22-417
    11Oakland Roots1652917:25-817
    12Colorado Springs1536618:22-415

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of New Mexico United - Charleston Battery?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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