Emmen vs Jong Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

De Oude Meerdijk (Emmen).

Eerste Divisie - Round 24
Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.05	0.86
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
4	8
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	5
Passes
81% (307/381)	81% (318/393)
Yellow cards
5	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.05	0.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.16	1.52
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
4	8
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
5	0
Shots inside the box
10	9
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	5
Touches in opposition box
30	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
16	13
Passes
81% (307/381)	81% (318/393)
Long passes
47% (21/45)	49% (30/61)
Passes in final third
79% (121/153)	71% (83/117)
Crosses
24% (9/38)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.09	0.73
Throw ins
16	15
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
41% (9/22)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
55	42
Clearances
16	35
Interceptions
5	9
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
8	4
xGOT faced
1.52	0.16
Goals prevented
1.52	0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Staring C. 🟨,
52', Bakir A. 🟨,
57', Johnson J. 🟨,
59', Bakir A. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
59', Hojabrpour A. ↓, Kongolo R. ↑,
61', Konadu D. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
61', Jetten L. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
61', Johnson J. ↓, Abdalla M. ↑,
66', Sondergaard P. 🟨,
66', O'Niel D. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
68', Mukeh J. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
68', Amadin N. ↓, Gerezgiher F. ↑,
85', van de Pavert R. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
87', Gerezgiher F. 🟨,
87', Staring C. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
88', Geypens T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Emmen
59.6%

Draw
20.8%

Jong Ajax
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

21%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

20.5%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1%)

Emmen - Jong Ajax Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)	4.48 ↑ (4.33)	4.71 ↓ (4.75)	7.9% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Emmen - Jong Ajax?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emmen: 39.2% – 89.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Emmen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.25 - Jong Ajax (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Emmen (votes: 1 - 50%). Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 4.
In recent matches, Emmen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jong Ajax's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Jong Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Emmen is the team to beat.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2.8:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against Jong Ajax?

Emmen has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Emmen?

Jong Ajax has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Emmen - Jong Ajax were as follows:

24.10.2025 Jong Ajax - Emmen 0:1

11.03.2025 Jong Ajax - Emmen 0:2

08.11.2024 Emmen - Jong Ajax 4:2

29.03.2024 Emmen - Jong Ajax 4:2

15.09.2023 Jong Ajax - Emmen 3:3

Latest results of Emmen

20.02.2026 Emmen - Jong PSV 2:3 ✺

13.02.2026 Dordrecht - Emmen 1:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Den Bosch - Emmen 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 FC Oss - Emmen 4:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Almere City - Emmen 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Jong Ajax

20.02.2026 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 0:1 ✺

16.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Cambuur 1:2 ✺

06.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 4:0 ✺

02.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Willem II 2:1 ✺

19.01.2026 Jong Ajax - Roda 2:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	32	24	2	6	72:31	41	74
2	Cambuur	31	21	7	3	63:33	30	70
3	De Graafschap	31	15	7	9	58:49	9	52
4	Willem II	31	14	8	9	45:38	7	50
5	Jong PSV	32	15	5	12	62:56	6	50
6	Almere City	32	15	4	13	66:53	13	49
7	Waalwijk	32	13	9	10	54:47	7	48
8	Roda	32	12	11	9	50:47	3	47
9	Dordrecht	32	11	10	11	43:43	0	43
10	Den Bosch	32	12	7	13	55:57	-2	43
11	Eindhoven FC	31	12	4	15	45:55	-10	40
12	Venlo	32	11	4	17	39:49	-10	37
13	FC Emmen	30	10	6	14	46:54	-8	36
14	Jong Utrecht	32	9	9	14	48:54	-6	36
15	Maastricht	32	9	9	14	39:61	-22	36
16	Vitesse	32	12	9	11	49:49	0	33
17	Helmond	32	9	6	17	37:56	-19	33
18	Jong Ajax	32	8	8	16	45:57	-12	32
19	Jong AZ	32	9	4	19	53:63	-10	31
20	Oss	32	6	11	15	39:56	-17	29

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie