Ipswich Town vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
17/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 2
  • Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.84
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
79% (269/339)82% (286/350)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.170.58
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
187
Passes
79% (269/339)82% (286/350)
Long passes
45% (20/44)57% (29/51)
Passes in final third
60% (56/93)76% (69/91)
Crosses
35% (9/26)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.65
Throw-ins
3218
Fouls
720
Tackles
67% (8/12)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4937
Clearances
3029
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.580.17
Goals prevented
-0.420.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Harwood-Bellis T. (Own goal),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Robinson J. , Fraser R. (A),
  • 41', Welington 🟨,
  • 42', Taylor J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Matusiwa A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Welington , Manning R. ,
  • 69', Robinson J. , Matsuki K. ,
  • 69', Fernandes M. , Archer C. ,
  • 71', Philogene J. , Chaplin C. ,
  • 71', Clarke J. , Ogbene C. ,
  • 71', Taylor J. , Cajuste J. ,
  • 83', Armstrong A. , Dibling T. ,
  • 83', Fraser R. , Sugawara Y. ,
  • 86', Johnson B. , Young A. ,
  • 86', Matusiwa A. , Humphreys C. ,
  • 90+5', Charles S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ipswich Town
51.4%
Draw
26.1%
Southampton
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 26.8% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 25.9% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Ipswich Town - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.02)
    3.78
    (3.53)
    4.45
    (3.58)
    1%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Ipswich Town - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). S`hampton will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - S`hampton (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - S`hampton (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 1 - 20%). S`hampton (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2.
    • Ipswich is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • S`hampton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Ipswich has had a series of away games.
    • Ipswich could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Ipswich: Akpom Ch. (Inactive) Burns W. (Knee Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ipswich: Philogene J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Dibling T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ipswich Town - Southampton were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Ipswich Town - Southampton 1:2
    21.09.2024 Southampton - Ipswich Town 1:1
    01.04.2024 Ipswich Town - Southampton 3:2
    19.09.2023 Southampton - Ipswich Town 0:1
    Latest results of Ipswich Town
    Latest results of Southampton
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Ipswich34189760:342663
    4Millwall35188947:40762
    5Hull351861156:49760
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One