Burnley vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
1:3
30/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 19
  • Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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australiaAustraliaStan Sport
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brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
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chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
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indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251
japanJapanU-NEXT
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Premier League 4
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
nepalNepalKantipur Max
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north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
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swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
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turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+ CINE, K+, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.01
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
79% (348/441)83% (380/456)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.362.46
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2823
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
39
Passes
79% (348/441)83% (380/456)
Long passes
32% (17/53)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
71% (84/118)71% (65/91)
Crosses
8% (1/12)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.81
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
93
Tackles
65% (13/20)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
2536
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.460.36
Goals prevented
-0.54-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Joelinton ⚽,
  • 7', 0 - 2, Wissa Y. ⚽,
  • 15', Esteve M. ↓, Humphreys B. ↑,
  • 23', 1 - 2, Laurent J. ⚽, Broja A. (A),
  • 28', Walker K. 🟨,
  • 28', Joelinton 🟨,
  • 32', Florentino 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 72', Barnes H. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
  • 74', Tchaouna L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
  • 80', Wissa Y. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
  • 80', Gordon A. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 88', Florentino ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
  • 88', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Bruno Guimaraes ⚽,
  • 90+4', Joelinton ↓, Willock J. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bddj2pb7

Chances of winning


Burnley
16.7%		Draw
22.5%		Newcastle United
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 24.4% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18% 24% 58.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
    •

    Burnley - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.73 ↑
    (5.15)    		 4.27 ↑
    (3.87)    		 1.58 ↓
    (1.65)    		 4.1%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Burnley - Newcastle United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Newcastle (1.97) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Burnley (5.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Burnley (5.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (48 of 57 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.74% – 93.68%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle United will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Newcastle (votes: 26 - 86.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.
    • Recent form of Burnley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Foster L. (International duty) Mejbri H. (Suspended) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Lower Back Injury) Burn D. (Chest Injury) Elanga A. (Knock) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Lascelles J. (Muscle Injury) Livramento V. (Knee Injury) Osula W. (Ankle Injury) Trippier K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Cullen J. (Injury) Esteve M. (Knock) Worrall J. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Newcastle United were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:1
    04.05.2024 Burnley - Newcastle United 1:4
    30.09.2023 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:0
    Latest results of Burnley
    27.12.2025 Burnley - Everton 0:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Bournemouth - Burnley 1:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Burnley - Fulham 2:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Burnley - Crystal Palace 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    26.12.2025 Manchester United - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:2 ✺
    17.12.2025 Newcastle United - Fulham 2:1 ✺
    14.12.2025 Sunderland - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    10.12.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Newcastle United 2:2 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal29197358:223664
    2Manchester City28185557:253259
    3Manchester Utd28149550:381251
    4Aston Villa28156738:30851
    5Liverpool28146847:371048
    6Chelsea28129749:331645
    7Brentford281341144:40443
    8Everton281171032:33-140
    9Fulham281241240:42-240
    10Bournemouth28912744:46-239
    11Brighton28910938:35337
    12Sunderland28910929:34-537
    13Newcastle281061240:42-236
    14Crystal Palace28981130:34-435
    15Leeds287101137:47-1031
    16Tottenham28781338:43-529
    17Nottingham28761526:41-1527
    18West Ham28671534:54-2025
    19Burnley28471732:56-2419
    20Wolves29272020:51-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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