Siello vs Móstoles URJC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Pacheco E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 57', 1 - 1, Sanchez V. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Sanchez V. ,

Chances of winning


Siello
21.8%
Draw
29.6%
Móstoles URJC
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 28.5% 48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2% 28.3% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Siello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siello than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Móstoles URJC aligns with the current prediction.
  • Siello - Móstoles URJC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.69
    (3.89)
    3.46
    (3.2)
    2.11
    (1.89)
    -2.3%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
    • Siello has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Móstoles is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Móstoles is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Siello won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Siello won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Siello - Móstoles URJC were as follows:
    11.02.2024 Móstoles URJC - Siello 2:0
    24.09.2023 Siello - Móstoles URJC 0:3
    Latest results of Siello
    14.12.2025 Siello - Racing Madrid 1:1
    07.12.2025 Las Rozas - Siello 1:0
    23.11.2025 Siello - Unión Adarve 2:1
    Latest results of Móstoles URJC
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C30169572:403257
    2Las Rozas29158648:301853
    3Leganes B30148858:273150
    4Trival Valderas301551042:33950
    5AD Torrejon30148849:41850
    6CD Mostoles30147946:361049
    7San Sebastian Reyes B301012838:32642
    8Pozuelo de Alarcon301011932:28441
    9Union Adarve301181135:41-641
    10Mexico FC301171238:41-340
    11Villaverde San Andres30913828:32-440
    12Galapagar30913833:41-840
    13Alcorcon B309101129:31-237
    14Tres Cantos301031734:53-1933
    15Carabanchel307111226:30-432
    16Siello29851626:40-1429
    17Parla30751827:54-2726
    18Ciudad de Madrid30571830:61-3122

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation