Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 16
- Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (407/481) | 71% (152/214) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (407/481) | 71% (152/214) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (33/62) | 40% (20/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (120/159) | 56% (38/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | 1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Gambor H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 0, Ripart R. ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 1, Joly O. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
- 64', Monfray A. 🟨,
- 70', Ripart R. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
- 70', Detourbet M. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
- 71', Boura I. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
- 77', Joly O. ↓, Benchamma S. ↑,
- 77', Balde I. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
- 84', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Ponti R. ↑,
- 84', Galves N. ↓, Issanchou Roubiou C. ↑,
- 86', Benchamma S. 🟨,
- 89', Arconte T. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Troyes
54.2% | Draw
24.7% | Rodez
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troyes's form might have worsened.Rodez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodez's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rodez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Troyes - Rodez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.47) |
3.79 ↓
(3.98) |
4.51 ↓
(5.95) |
6.7%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Troyes - Rodez?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Rodez will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 50.5% – 99.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 1.
- Troyes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rodez's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Troyes is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Troyes: Bentayeb T.
(Inactive)
Gozzi P.
(Broken Leg)
Lemaitre N.
(Knee Injury)
Odede E.
(Inactive)
Titi Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Rodez: Achi M.
(Inactive)
Corredor M.
(Inactive)
Issanchou Roubiou C.
(Inactive)
Laurent L.
(Inactive)
Pelon A.
(Inactive)
Tebily H.
(Leg Injury)
Trouillet A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Troyes: Phliponeau A.
(Health problems)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Rodez?
Troyes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Troyes?
Rodez has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Rodez were as follows:
10.01.2025
Rodez
-
Troyes
2:1
20.09.2024
Troyes
-
Rodez
0:3
30.03.2024
Troyes
-
Rodez
2:3
26.09.2023
Rodez
-
Troyes
2:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
