Barry Town United vs Pen-y-Bont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 27
  • Referee: Harman J. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
81
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
35
Total shots
166
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
85
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Baker A. 🟨,
  • 15', Sainty C. 🟨,
  • 35', Patten K. 🟨,
  • 35', Green C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ludvigsen K. , Warlow O. ,
  • 46', Patten K. , Wharton T. ,
  • 54', Owen K. 🟨,
  • 55', Baker A. , Cvetkovic A. ,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Owen I. ,
  • 64', Green C. , Wood N. ,
  • 64', Owen K. , Daley N. ,
  • 65', Owen I. , Smith D. ,
  • 70', Venables C. 🟨,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 73', Williams E. , Cuddihy O. ,
  • 73', Sainty C. , Barton D. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Barry Town United
48.1%
Draw
27.2%
Pen-y-Bont
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 24.9% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 24.1% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barry Town United's form might have worsened.
  • Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.72)
    3.35
    (3.75)
    3.7
    (4.5)
    9.7%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barry Town will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Pen-y-Bont will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pen-y-Bont (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 1.
    • Barry Town has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pen-y-Bont's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Barry Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barry Town is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Barry Town won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barry Town won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Pen-y-Bont - Barry Town United 1:1
    22.08.2025 Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont 2:3
    26.12.2024 Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont 1:2
    22.10.2024 Barry Town United - Pen-y-Bont 3:2
    04.10.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Barry Town United 4:1
    Latest results of Barry Town United
    Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS ✔ 27222372:215168
    2Connahs Q27148552:312150
    3Penybont27117937:41-440
    4Caernarfon27109849:371239
    5Barry27109837:271039
    6Colwyn Bay271071035:33237

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    TNS is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )