Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (370/461) | 66% (147/223) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (370/461) | 66% (147/223) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 41% (24/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (117/175) | 60% (33/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.26 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Paiva G. ⚽,
- 35', Sarmiento A. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 2, Barrera J. ⚽, Castrillon B. (A),
- 45', Campuzano J. 🟨,
- 45+5', Paiva G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Sarmiento A. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 2, Arce B. ⚽,
- 58', 1 - 3, Baez C. ⚽,
- 62', Barrera J. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
- 63', Paiva G. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 68', Castrillon B. 🟨,
- 70', Rodriguez S. ↓, Bacca C. ↑,
- 70', Castrillon B. ↓, Quintero Y. ↑,
- 75', Mele S. 🟨,
- 76', 2 - 3, Viveros K. ⚽, Morelos A. (A),
- 82', Chara Y. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
- 90+1', Herrera E. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5n87ynfc
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
62% | Draw
23.3% | Junior Barranquilla
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.6) |
3.97 ↑
(3.6) |
6.21 ↑
(5.5) |
6.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Atlético Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
- Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 1.
- Atlético Nacional is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Junior's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Junior Barranquilla?
Atlético Nacional has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Atlético Nacional?
Junior Barranquilla has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
26.09.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Junior Barranquilla
Abandoned
02.03.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Atlético Nacional
0:0
17.09.2023
Junior Barranquilla
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
10.04.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:1
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 32:21 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 36:27 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Alianza | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Pereira | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Chico | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
