Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 4
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (298/368) | 79% (224/285) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (298/368) | 79% (224/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (33/54) | 61% (41/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (99/137) | 70% (69/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 36', Roman A. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Asprilla D. ⚽, Rengifo J. (A),
- 45+2', Bauza J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Campuzano J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Castrillon B. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
- 58', Celis G. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Canchimbo J. ⚽, Enamorado J. (A),
- 72', Hinestroza M. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 72', Rengifo J. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
- 73', Bauza J. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
- 73', Garcia S. ↓, Haydar C. ↑,
- 82', Paiva G. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
- 85', Asprilla D. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 86', Rivas J. 🟨,
- 87', Enamorado J. ↓, Titi ↑,
- 88', Suarez Y. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Titi ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/52r46zkv
Chances of winning
Junior Barranquilla
33.5% | Draw
29.5% | Atlético Nacional
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.56) |
3.18 ↑
(3.14) |
2.54 ↓
(2.75) |
6.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final) and 2)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2.
- Junior is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Nacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Atlético Nacional?
Junior Barranquilla has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Junior Barranquilla?
Atlético Nacional has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
26.11.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:1
13.11.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Atlético Nacional
2:1
25.05.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Junior Barranquilla
2:3
26.09.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Junior Barranquilla
Abandoned
02.03.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Atlético Nacional
0:0
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsFinal| 1 | Junior | Deportes Tolima | 1 : 0, 3 : 0 |
