Kyoto Sanga vs Gamba Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka
28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 22
Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.42
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
76% (247/327)80% (390/486)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.911.13
Total shots
127
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2623
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
76% (247/327)80% (390/486)
Long passes
37% (18/49)43% (25/58)
Passes in final third
67% (84/125)68% (103/152)
Crosses
31% (5/16)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.73
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1010
Tackles
59% (10/17)52% (11/21)
Duels won
5356
Clearances
3423
Interceptions
185
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.131.91
Goals prevented
0.13-1.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', Nakatani S. 🟨,
  • 16', Yonemoto T. , Hirato T. ,
  • 17', 1 - 0, Marco Tulio , Hirato T. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Marco Tulio , Hirato T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Suzuki T. , Lavi N. ,
  • 46', Kurokawa K. , Kishimoto T. ,
  • 46', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
  • 52', 3 - 0, Fukuda S. , Marco Tulio (A),
  • 66', Usami T. , Jebali I. ,
  • 66', Welton , Yamashita R. ,
  • 66', Nagasawa S. , Matsuda T. ,
  • 66', Fukuda S. , Sugai H. ,
  • 79', Sato K. 🟨,
  • 83', Mitsuta M. , Juan Alano ,
  • 84', Marco Tulio , Patrick William ,
  • 85', Fukuoka S. , Asada S. ,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Jebali I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
35.1%
Draw
28.6%
Gamba Osaka
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 28.7% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 28.9% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.6)
    3.28
    (3.34)
    2.6
    (2.78)
    6%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 53.8%96.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Meshino R. (Inactive) Okunuki K. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 2:1
    22.09.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka 2:2
    03.04.2024 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 0:0
    08.07.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    24.05.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 0:1
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    11.06.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nara Club 1:0
    31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    25.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    21.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:4
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Vissel Kobe22124628:21740
    4Kyoto22115636:261038
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima22113826:18836
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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